{"source":"gemini","id":"236646","ticker":"UFC-LOU-NAT-20260908","slug":"loud-vs-natividad","title":"Loud vs Natividad","description":"Loud vs Natividad","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3XIxfx0x9S2SRKZMKEFS55/05c36b6a8ead363511edb4b5ea6b53a3/UFC__1_.png","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-06T19:31:30.138000Z","end_date":"2026-09-09T11:17:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2238.63,"volume_24hr":1745.65,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.21675109863281,"normalized_volume":37.5354118347168,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["MMA"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Christian Natividad","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.27,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:44:45.175529Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:44:45.175529Z","added_at":"2026-09-06T19:41:53.069894Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-LOU-NAT-20260908/loud-vs-natividad","chart_24h":[118.09,386.98,383.97,389.2,439.2,712.1,1745.65],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"236646-576996","event_id":"236646","slug":"GEMI-UFC-LOU-NAT-20260908-NAT","question":"Christian Natividad","group_item_title":"Christian Natividad","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Christian Natividad wins the Loud vs Natividad professional MMA fight scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.08,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-08T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-09T11:17:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:44:45.187061Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:44:45.187061Z","added_at":"2026-09-06T19:41:53.229926Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-LOU-NAT-20260908/loud-vs-natividad","event_title":"Loud vs Natividad","chart_24h":[0.72,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"236646-576994","event_id":"236646","slug":"GEMI-UFC-LOU-NAT-20260908-LOU","question":"Colton Loud","group_item_title":"Colton Loud","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Colton Loud wins the Loud vs Natividad professional MMA fight scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.08,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-08T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-09T11:17:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:44:45.187061Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:44:45.187061Z","added_at":"2026-09-06T19:41:53.229926Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-LOU-NAT-20260908/loud-vs-natividad","event_title":"Loud vs Natividad","chart_24h":[0.29,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.2]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/236646","as_of":"2026-09-09T02:44:55.451959Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Loud vs Natividad\" — top market at 99% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}