{"source":"gemini","id":"241420","ticker":"TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260910-SAB-PEG","slug":"aryna-sabalenka-vs-jessica-pegula","title":"Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula","description":"Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T10:01:47.468000Z","end_date":"2026-09-11T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4410.64,"volume_24hr":4348.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.92522430419922,"normalized_volume":44.36223602294922,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["US Open"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Aryna Sabalenka","top_outcome_probability":0.66,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T19:21:54.937206Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T19:21:54.937206Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T10:19:56.877321Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260910-SAB-PEG/aryna-sabalenka-vs-jessica-pegula","chart_24h":[92.42,122.45,197.52,198.52,361.65,381.15,365.92,385.86,408.38,525.93,555.96,2664.17,2698.2,4385.34,4348.25],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"241420-593228","event_id":"241420","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260910-SAB-PEG-SAB","question":"Aryna Sabalenka","group_item_title":"Aryna Sabalenka","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Aryna Sabalenka wins the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/NEU_8396a4cb-e255-4cef-9b51-362adb0ffa40.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.37],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T10:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-11T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T18:59:58.686067Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T18:59:58.686067Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T10:19:57.138581Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260910-SAB-PEG/aryna-sabalenka-vs-jessica-pegula","event_title":"Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula","chart_24h":[0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66]},{"source":"gemini","id":"241420-593229","event_id":"241420","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260910-SAB-PEG-PEG","question":"Jessica Pegula","group_item_title":"Jessica Pegula","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Jessica Pegula wins the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.66],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T10:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-11T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T12:56:34.505144Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T12:56:34.505144Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T10:19:57.138581Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260910-SAB-PEG/aryna-sabalenka-vs-jessica-pegula","event_title":"Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula","chart_24h":[0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/241420","as_of":"2026-09-10T20:12:27.739927Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula\" — top market at 66% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}