{"source":"gemini","id":"242201","ticker":"LALIGA-2609121900-RAY-RMA-M","slug":"rayo-vs-real-madrid","title":"Rayo vs Real Madrid","description":"Rayo vs Real Madrid","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Soccer_eb4baf30-095c-4b92-ae46-f6bf5061a57d.avif","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-09T19:53:15.212000Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2500.0,"volume_24hr":2500.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.9315185546875,"normalized_volume":38.46710968017578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["La Liga"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Real Madrid","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-12T21:26:38.968319Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T21:26:38.968319Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T20:06:56.328135Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LALIGA-2609121900-RAY-RMA-M/rayo-vs-real-madrid","chart_24h":[2500.0,2500.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"242201-595125","event_id":"242201","slug":"GEMI-LALIGA-2609121900-RAY-RMA-M-RMA","question":"Real Madrid","group_item_title":"Real Madrid","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Real Madrid wins the LaLiga match between Real Madrid and Rayo scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Champions-RMA-Dark_2042318f-57c5-4868-9a06-ee82fd32cb83.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.05],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.09,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-09T19:52:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T21:26:38.981849Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T21:26:38.981849Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T20:06:56.494146Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LALIGA-2609121900-RAY-RMA-M/rayo-vs-real-madrid","event_title":"Rayo vs Real Madrid","chart_24h":[0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"gemini","id":"242201-595126","event_id":"242201","slug":"GEMI-LALIGA-2609121900-RAY-RMA-M-RAY","question":"Rayo","group_item_title":"Rayo","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Rayo wins the LaLiga match between Rayo and Real Madrid scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7a7KO3atd3NKPdRJoxKqBR/f608a5a24623c36fde268e7524c34a91/Rayo_Vallecano.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.05,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-09T19:52:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T21:26:38.981849Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T21:26:38.981849Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T20:06:56.494146Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LALIGA-2609121900-RAY-RMA-M/rayo-vs-real-madrid","event_title":"Rayo vs Real Madrid","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"242201-595127","event_id":"242201","slug":"GEMI-LALIGA-2609121900-RAY-RMA-M-D","question":"Tie","group_item_title":"Tie","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the LaLiga match between Real Madrid and Rayo scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET ends in a tie after regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withties, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.09,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-09T19:52:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T21:26:38.981849Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T21:26:38.981849Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T20:06:56.494146Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LALIGA-2609121900-RAY-RMA-M/rayo-vs-real-madrid","event_title":"Rayo vs Real Madrid","chart_24h":[0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/242201","as_of":"2026-09-12T22:17:43.483634Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Rayo vs Real Madrid\" — top market at 89% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}