{"source":"gemini","id":"245812","ticker":"XAU2609122100","slug":"gold-price-on-september-12","title":"Gold price on September 12?","description":"Interval XAU price prediction event expiring on September 12, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Gold_a6abce51-478a-47b9-9873-0428ab6a9793.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T19:55:41.600000Z","end_date":"2026-09-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1651.36,"volume_24hr":1651.36,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.70983123779297,"normalized_volume":34.499603271484375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Gold"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$4,300 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.05999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-12T19:18:52.765087Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T19:18:52.765087Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:08:23.098228Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2609122100/gold-price-on-september-12","chart_24h":[0.0,162.0,352.6,525.15,583.04,651.04,826.04,1082.33,1101.36,1326.36,1576.36,1651.36],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"245812-604285","event_id":"245812","slug":"GEMI-XAU2609122100-HI4300","question":"$4,300 or above","group_item_title":"$4,300 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,300 or above on September 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.99],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.05999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:08:23.337207Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2609122100/gold-price-on-september-12","event_title":"Gold price on September 12?","chart_24h":[0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"245812-604293","event_id":"245812","slug":"GEMI-XAU2609122100-HI4375","question":"$4,375 or above","group_item_title":"$4,375 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,375 or above on September 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.96],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:08:23.337207Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2609122100/gold-price-on-september-12","event_title":"Gold price on September 12?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"245812-604296","event_id":"245812","slug":"GEMI-XAU2609122100-HI4400","question":"$4,400 or above","group_item_title":"$4,400 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,400 or above on September 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:08:23.337207Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2609122100/gold-price-on-september-12","event_title":"Gold price on September 12?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.27,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.99,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"245812-604288","event_id":"245812","slug":"GEMI-XAU2609122100-HI4325","question":"$4,325 or above","group_item_title":"$4,325 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,325 or above on September 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.99],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:08:23.337207Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2609122100/gold-price-on-september-12","event_title":"Gold price on September 12?","chart_24h":[0.83,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"gemini","id":"245812-604291","event_id":"245812","slug":"GEMI-XAU2609122100-HI4350","question":"$4,350 or above","group_item_title":"$4,350 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,350 or above on September 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.99],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.37,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T19:39:59.762091Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:08:23.337207Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2609122100/gold-price-on-september-12","event_title":"Gold price on September 12?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/245812","as_of":"2026-09-12T19:59:49.519579Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Gold price on September 12?\" — top market at 99% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}