{"source":"gemini","id":"245890","ticker":"TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260912-SAB-RYB","slug":"aryna-sabalenka-vs-elena-rybakina","title":"Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina","description":"Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T20:40:37.152000Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4177.59,"volume_24hr":4177.59,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.47787094116211,"normalized_volume":43.67953109741211,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["US Open"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Aryna Sabalenka","top_outcome_probability":0.59,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-12T17:31:43.151184Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T17:31:43.151184Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:50:10.112917Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260912-SAB-RYB/aryna-sabalenka-vs-elena-rybakina","chart_24h":[0.0,281.36,345.53,1993.15,1999.69,2023.99,2155.78,2221.94,2263.12,2809.85,2821.37,2831.41,2999.34,3016.08],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"245890-604648","event_id":"245890","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260912-SAB-RYB-SAB","question":"Aryna Sabalenka","group_item_title":"Aryna Sabalenka","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Aryna Sabalenka wins the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/NEU_8396a4cb-e255-4cef-9b51-362adb0ffa40.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.44],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T20:41:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T17:31:43.466412Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T17:31:43.466412Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:50:10.283177Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260912-SAB-RYB/aryna-sabalenka-vs-elena-rybakina","event_title":"Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina","chart_24h":[0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"gemini","id":"245890-604650","event_id":"245890","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260912-SAB-RYB-RYB","question":"Elena Rybakina","group_item_title":"Elena Rybakina","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Elena Rybakina wins the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/65pgSjpCfMo3FjSy5O42Nw/bd7d0c02ad4ed7a231d3546996655a06/034-kazakhstan.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.59],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T20:41:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T10:50:18.794729Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T10:50:18.794729Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:50:10.283177Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-WTAUSO-20260912-SAB-RYB/aryna-sabalenka-vs-elena-rybakina","event_title":"Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina","chart_24h":[0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/245890","as_of":"2026-09-12T17:37:16.325228Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina\" — top market at 59% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}