{"source":"gemini","id":"251028","ticker":"UFC-HER-GUI-20260915","slug":"hernandez-vs-guillon","title":"Hernandez vs Guillon","description":"Hernandez vs Guillon","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3XIxfx0x9S2SRKZMKEFS55/05c36b6a8ead363511edb4b5ea6b53a3/UFC__1_.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:42:28.075000Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T11:50:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1306.04,"volume_24hr":1306.04,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.4236946105957,"normalized_volume":30.656963348388672,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["MMA"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Luis Hernandez","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.26,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-15T23:53:34.218678Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T23:53:34.218678Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:56:30.414130Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-HER-GUI-20260915/hernandez-vs-guillon","chart_24h":[11.7,21.74,96.73,1306.04],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"251028-620910","event_id":"251028","slug":"GEMI-UFC-HER-GUI-20260915-HER","question":"Luis Hernandez","group_item_title":"Luis Hernandez","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Luis Hernandez wins the Hernandez vs Guillon professional MMA fight scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/153-united-states-of-america_0de17385-ef48-471c-b613-3304e3ecc27d.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.43],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T11:50:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T23:53:34.484279Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T23:53:34.484279Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:56:30.564665Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-HER-GUI-20260915/hernandez-vs-guillon","event_title":"Hernandez vs Guillon","chart_24h":[0.39,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.65]},{"source":"gemini","id":"251028-620911","event_id":"251028","slug":"GEMI-UFC-HER-GUI-20260915-GUI","question":"Hugo Guillon","group_item_title":"Hugo Guillon","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Hugo Guillon wins the Hernandez vs Guillon professional MMA fight scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/077-france_d7032337-8446-4fdd-9afc-e79a8e838f7d.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.66],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T11:50:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.2,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T23:53:34.484279Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T23:53:34.484279Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:56:30.564665Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-HER-GUI-20260915/hernandez-vs-guillon","event_title":"Hernandez vs Guillon","chart_24h":[0.62,0.61,0.61,0.42]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/251028","as_of":"2026-09-16T03:25:56.868379Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Hernandez vs Guillon\" — top market at 65% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}