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Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.07],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T23:14:55.240222Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T15:33:43.393910Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.93,0.93]},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18710","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT5","question":"Above 5%","group_item_title":"Above 5%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.97],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T16:32:41.745729Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T16:32:41.745729Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18712","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT6","question":"Above 6%","group_item_title":"Above 6%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.99],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T16:53:24.581587Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T16:53:14.674557Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18711","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT7","question":"Above 7%","group_item_title":"Above 7%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T16:53:24.581587Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T16:53:14.674557Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18713","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT9","question":"Above 9%","group_item_title":"Above 9%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T23:14:55.240222Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T15:33:43.393910Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18714","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT8","question":"Above 8%","group_item_title":"Above 8%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:49:49.989334Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T15:17:38.032823Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/2643","as_of":"2026-08-05T18:55:29.859223Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"How high will unemployment get in 2026?\" — top market at 93% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}