{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/2643","as_of":"2026-11-04T00:32:41.938216Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"How high will unemployment get in 2026?\" — \"Above 5%\" leads at 13% across 6 outcomes as of 2026-11-01 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/2643","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026"},"source":"gemini","id":"2643","ticker":"UNEMP2026","slug":"how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","description":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3gZecEpAGcEvFyHc0qwmEl/531620918d27573775dd8b10a6b387b3/Employment.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T03:35:56.021000Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20070.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":52.51710891723633,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Macro Indicators"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 5%","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-01T22:48:08.182640Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T22:48:08.182640Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18710","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT5","question":"Above 5%","group_item_title":"Above 5%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.88],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T22:48:08.257767Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T22:48:08.257767Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18712","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT6","question":"Above 6%","group_item_title":"Above 6%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.96],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T00:40:47.719637Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T00:40:47.719637Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18711","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT7","question":"Above 7%","group_item_title":"Above 7%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T09:04:20.373030Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T09:04:20.373030Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18713","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT9","question":"Above 9%","group_item_title":"Above 9%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.97],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T09:04:20.373030Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T09:04:20.373030Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18714","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT8","question":"Above 8%","group_item_title":"Above 8%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.97],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T15:12:33.061807Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T15:12:33.061807Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"2643-18719","event_id":"2643","slug":"GEMI-UNEMP2026-GT10","question":"Above 10%","group_item_title":"Above 10%","description":"If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.97],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T09:04:20.373030Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T09:04:20.373030Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UNEMP2026/how-high-will-unemployment-get-in-2026","event_title":"How high will unemployment get in 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}