{"source":"gemini","id":"266134","ticker":"UFC-CON-GUA-20260922","slug":"connor-vs-guaylupo","title":"Connor vs Guaylupo","description":"Connor vs Guaylupo","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3XIxfx0x9S2SRKZMKEFS55/05c36b6a8ead363511edb4b5ea6b53a3/UFC__1_.png","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-21T02:29:14.426000Z","end_date":"2026-09-23T11:38:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1363.07,"volume_24hr":1261.34,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.07706832885742,"normalized_volume":30.27338409423828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["MMA"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Piero Guaylupo","top_outcome_probability":0.92,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.41000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-23T01:43:13.037730Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T01:43:13.037730Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T02:50:38.444342Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-CON-GUA-20260922/connor-vs-guaylupo","chart_24h":[102.95,202.95,266.04,269.61,280.24,290.07,436.37,1261.34,1261.34],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"266134-656571","event_id":"266134","slug":"GEMI-UFC-CON-GUA-20260922-GUA","question":"Piero Guaylupo","group_item_title":"Piero Guaylupo","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Piero Guaylupo wins the Connor vs Guaylupo professional MMA fight scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/074-peru_0be2189d-aa61-4f30-864a-22313a7e8500.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.16],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.08,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-22T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-23T11:38:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.41000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T01:43:13.072073Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T01:43:13.072073Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T02:50:38.572817Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-CON-GUA-20260922/connor-vs-guaylupo","event_title":"Connor vs Guaylupo","chart_24h":[0.51,0.52,0.52,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"gemini","id":"266134-656568","event_id":"266134","slug":"GEMI-UFC-CON-GUA-20260922-CON","question":"Callum Connor","group_item_title":"Callum Connor","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Callum Connor wins the Connor vs Guaylupo professional MMA fight scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/152-england_dcef057e-b265-4641-9da0-ec4d4535ab53.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.93],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.08,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-22T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-23T11:38:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T01:43:13.072073Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T01:43:13.072073Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T02:50:38.572817Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-CON-GUA-20260922/connor-vs-guaylupo","event_title":"Connor vs Guaylupo","chart_24h":[0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.15,0.15]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/266134","as_of":"2026-09-23T04:09:42.296083Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Connor vs Guaylupo\" — top market at 92% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}