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Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/053-hungary_d3b4ec5a-cda9-4dd6-a281-e52cce11c0eb.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.01],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.08,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-22T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-23T13:13:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.17999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T05:01:42.153095Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T05:01:42.153095Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T02:50:38.572817Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-NOV-HAI-20260923/novenyi-jr-vs-haig","event_title":"Novenyi Jr vs Haig","chart_24h":[0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"gemini","id":"266139-656583","event_id":"266139","slug":"GEMI-UFC-NOV-HAI-20260923-HAI","question":"Theo Haig","group_item_title":"Theo Haig","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Theo Haig wins the Novenyi Jr vs Haig professional MMA fight scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.98],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.08,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-22T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-23T13:13:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.21,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T05:01:42.153095Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T05:01:42.153095Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T02:50:38.572817Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-NOV-HAI-20260923/novenyi-jr-vs-haig","event_title":"Novenyi Jr vs Haig","chart_24h":[0.21,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/266139","as_of":"2026-09-23T06:19:10.918862Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Novenyi Jr vs Haig\" — top market at 98% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}