{"source":"gemini","id":"267721","ticker":"MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S","slug":"toronto-vs-baltimore-point-spread","title":"Toronto vs Baltimore: Point Spread","description":"What will the run difference be?","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-21T18:56:22.529000Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T17:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5149.93,"volume_24hr":5074.93,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.50811004638672,"normalized_volume":42.44438934326172,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["Pro Baseball"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Baltimore wins by more than 1.5 runs","top_outcome_probability":0.84,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.48,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-23T19:43:20.876475Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T19:43:20.876475Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T19:02:46.733567Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S/toronto-vs-baltimore-point-spread","chart_24h":[82.2,82.2,7.2,3618.84,4723.93,5074.93],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"267721-663617","event_id":"267721","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S-BAL1","question":"Baltimore wins by more than 1.5 runs","group_item_title":"Baltimore wins by more than 1.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Baltimore Orioles in the entire Pro Baseball game between Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET is above 1.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Baltimore Orioles's score minus Toronto Blue Jays's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_Spread_Classdocx_9b57b581-3ff2-4772-9e17-9576585b0a4f.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Baltimore_OriolesDark_b7ae944f-27fe-4fbe-ac40-3aee841fc8c4.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.23],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T17:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T19:02:46.890595Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S/toronto-vs-baltimore-point-spread","event_title":"Toronto vs Baltimore: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.84]},{"source":"gemini","id":"267721-663616","event_id":"267721","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S-BAL2","question":"Baltimore wins by more than 2.5 runs","group_item_title":"Baltimore wins by more than 2.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Baltimore Orioles in the entire Pro Baseball game between Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET is above 2.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Baltimore Orioles's score minus Toronto Blue Jays's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_Spread_Classdocx_9b57b581-3ff2-4772-9e17-9576585b0a4f.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Baltimore_OriolesDark_b7ae944f-27fe-4fbe-ac40-3aee841fc8c4.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.92],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T17:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T19:02:46.890595Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S/toronto-vs-baltimore-point-spread","event_title":"Toronto vs Baltimore: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.25,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.44,0.43,0.3,0.17]},{"source":"gemini","id":"267721-663613","event_id":"267721","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S-BAL3","question":"Baltimore wins by more than 3.5 runs","group_item_title":"Baltimore wins by more than 3.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Baltimore Orioles in the entire Pro Baseball game between Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET is above 3.5. 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View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_Spread_Classdocx_9b57b581-3ff2-4772-9e17-9576585b0a4f.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Baltimore_OriolesDark_b7ae944f-27fe-4fbe-ac40-3aee841fc8c4.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.99],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T17:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T19:02:46.890595Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S/toronto-vs-baltimore-point-spread","event_title":"Toronto vs Baltimore: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.2,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.13]},{"source":"gemini","id":"267721-663614","event_id":"267721","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S-TOR1","question":"Toronto wins by more than 1.5 runs","group_item_title":"Toronto wins by more than 1.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Toronto Blue Jays in the entire Pro Baseball game between Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET is above 1.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Toronto Blue Jays's score minus Baltimore Orioles's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_Spread_Classdocx_9b57b581-3ff2-4772-9e17-9576585b0a4f.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Toronto_Blue_JaysDark_cc5170c6-fe5b-4f28-8284-029730efcb66.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.99],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T17:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.29,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T19:02:46.890595Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S/toronto-vs-baltimore-point-spread","event_title":"Toronto vs Baltimore: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.35,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.18,0.12,0.23,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"267721-663618","event_id":"267721","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S-TOR2","question":"Toronto wins by more than 2.5 runs","group_item_title":"Toronto wins by more than 2.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Toronto Blue Jays in the entire Pro Baseball game between Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET is above 2.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Toronto Blue Jays's score minus Baltimore Orioles's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_Spread_Classdocx_9b57b581-3ff2-4772-9e17-9576585b0a4f.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Toronto_Blue_JaysDark_cc5170c6-fe5b-4f28-8284-029730efcb66.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T17:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.23,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T19:02:46.890595Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S/toronto-vs-baltimore-point-spread","event_title":"Toronto vs Baltimore: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"267721-663615","event_id":"267721","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S-TOR3","question":"Toronto wins by more than 3.5 runs","group_item_title":"Toronto wins by more than 3.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Toronto Blue Jays in the entire Pro Baseball game between Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Toronto Blue Jays's score minus Baltimore Orioles's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_Spread_Classdocx_9b57b581-3ff2-4772-9e17-9576585b0a4f.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Toronto_Blue_JaysDark_cc5170c6-fe5b-4f28-8284-029730efcb66.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T17:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.17,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T20:04:16.469410Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T19:02:46.890595Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2609222235-TOR-BAL-S/toronto-vs-baltimore-point-spread","event_title":"Toronto vs Baltimore: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.2,0.21,0.27,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/267721","as_of":"2026-09-23T20:29:55.044553Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Toronto vs Baltimore: Point Spread\" — top market at 84% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}