{"source":"gemini","id":"28771","ticker":"FEDCRIME26","slug":"who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","description":"Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T18:38:39.831000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27447.0,"volume_24hr":26008.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":74.91252899169922,"normalized_volume":57.7396354675293,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Courts"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Raúl Castro","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:49:49.658689Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:49:49.658689Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","chart_24h":[3010.0,9098.0,12142.0,21424.0,22964.0,26008.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149372","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-RAULCASTRO","question":"Raúl Castro","group_item_title":"Raúl Castro","description":"If Raúl Castro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.06],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:42.222179Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:42.222179Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149366","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-ILHANOMAR","question":"Ilhan Omar","group_item_title":"Ilhan Omar","description":"If Ilhan Omar has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.51],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:59.003282Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:42:25.649550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149367","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-LETITIAJAMES","question":"Letitia James","group_item_title":"Letitia James","description":"If Letitia James has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.53],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:44:38.120202Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149371","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-JACKSMITH","question":"Jack Smith","group_item_title":"Jack Smith","description":"If Jack Smith has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.69],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:42.222179Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:42.222179Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149370","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-ADAMSCHIFF","question":"Adam Schiff","group_item_title":"Adam Schiff","description":"If Adam Schiff has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.73],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:25:46.933187Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T04:20:09.185396Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.34]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149375","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-PETERSTRZOK","question":"Peter Strzok","group_item_title":"Peter Strzok","description":"If Peter Strzok has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.74],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:11:18.391736Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:50:25.029056Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149373","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-JAMESCLAPPER","question":"James Clapper","group_item_title":"James Clapper","description":"If James Clapper has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.75],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:50:25.029056Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:50:25.029056Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149374","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-FANIWILLIS","question":"Fani Willis","group_item_title":"Fani Willis","description":"If Fani Willis has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.77],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:06:46.852698Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:06:46.852698Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149369","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-ANTHONYFAUCI","question":"Anthony Fauci","group_item_title":"Anthony Fauci","description":"If Anthony Fauci has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.79],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T10:45:27.730956Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T19:19:18.620821Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149390","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-LISACOOK","question":"Lisa Cook","group_item_title":"Lisa Cook","description":"If Lisa Cook has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.82],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:48:46.570271Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:21:55.270221Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149380","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-KEITHELLISON","question":"Keith Ellison","group_item_title":"Keith Ellison","description":"If Keith Ellison has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.87],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:10:36.148220Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T06:28:24.296314Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149378","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-GUSTAVOPETRO","question":"Gustavo Petro","group_item_title":"Gustavo Petro","description":"If Gustavo Petro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.88],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Colombia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:17:38.746242Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:17:38.746242Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149381","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-MARKMILLEY","question":"Mark Milley","group_item_title":"Mark Milley","description":"If Mark Milley has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.86],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:59.003282Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:42:25.649550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149376","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-CHRISKREBS","question":"Chris Krebs","group_item_title":"Chris Krebs","description":"If Chris Krebs has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.87],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:12:39.546669Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T15:12:39.546669Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149379","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-CHRISTOPHERWRAY","question":"Christopher Wray","group_item_title":"Christopher Wray","description":"If Christopher Wray has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.88],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:14:25.061748Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T23:13:09.618356Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149386","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-HUNTERBIDEN","question":"Hunter Biden","group_item_title":"Hunter Biden","description":"If Hunter Biden has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.89],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T18:18:06.838371Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149382","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-HILLARYCLINTON","question":"Hillary Clinton","group_item_title":"Hillary Clinton","description":"If Hillary Clinton has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.91],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:38:21.839946Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:38:21.839946Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149385","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-JOEKENT","question":"Joe Kent","group_item_title":"Joe Kent","description":"If Joe Kent has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.92],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:59.003282Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:42:25.649550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149383","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-ALVINBRAGG","question":"Alvin Bragg","group_item_title":"Alvin Bragg","description":"If Alvin Bragg has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.92],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:38:21.839946Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:38:21.839946Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149377","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-TIMWALZ","question":"Tim Walz","group_item_title":"Tim Walz","description":"If Tim Walz has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.92],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:12:39.546669Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T15:12:39.546669Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149389","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-LIZCHENEY","question":"Liz Cheney","group_item_title":"Liz Cheney","description":"If Liz Cheney has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.93],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:26:39.971107Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T19:19:18.620821Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149391","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-BILLCLINTON","question":"Bill Clinton","group_item_title":"Bill Clinton","description":"If Bill Clinton has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.95],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:59.003282Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:42:25.649550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149387","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-TUCKERCARLSON","question":"Tucker Carlson","group_item_title":"Tucker Carlson","description":"If Tucker Carlson has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.94],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:33:14.805687Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T20:40:55.763328Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149392","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-BARACKOBAMA","question":"Barack Obama","group_item_title":"Barack Obama","description":"If Barack Obama has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.92],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:14:25.061748Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149384","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-JACOBFREY","question":"Jacob Frey","group_item_title":"Jacob Frey","description":"If Jacob Frey has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.94],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T08:42:14.450445Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-18T09:32:57.267382Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149388","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-ELISSASLOTKIN","question":"Elissa Slotkin","group_item_title":"Elissa Slotkin","description":"If Elissa Slotkin has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.97],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:22:09.104081Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T00:14:33.284884Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149394","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-MARKKELLY","question":"Mark Kelly","group_item_title":"Mark Kelly","description":"If Mark Kelly has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.94],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:26:39.971107Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T19:19:18.620821Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149397","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-JEROMEPOWELL","question":"Jerome Powell","group_item_title":"Jerome Powell","description":"If Jerome Powell has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.94],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:09:13.545112Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:09:13.545112Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149395","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-PAMBONDI","question":"Pam Bondi","group_item_title":"Pam Bondi","description":"If Pam Bondi has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.98],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:59.003282Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T20:29:20.768214Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149393","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-JOEBIDEN","question":"Joe Biden","group_item_title":"Joe Biden","description":"If Joe Biden has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.97],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:25:46.933187Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:42:25.649550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149396","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-CHRISCHRISTIE","question":"Chris Christie","group_item_title":"Chris Christie","description":"If Chris Christie has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.99],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:09:13.545112Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:09:13.545112Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771-149368","event_id":"28771","slug":"GEMI-FEDCRIME26-JOHNBRENNAN","question":"John Brennan","group_item_title":"John Brennan","description":"If John Brennan has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","event_title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/28771","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:05:25.098355Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 32 outcomes","source_url":null}}