{"source":"gemini","id":"3006","ticker":"CAGOV26","slug":"california-governor-winner","title":"California Governor winner?","description":"Who will win the California gubernatorial election in 2026?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5io95UEXEvajF5WKJ6yCDy/289686e75f7b0793c29a1768f83f0c20/California_General.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-27T23:01:36.247000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":64519.0,"volume_24hr":254.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.25640106201172,"normalized_volume":67.80074310302734,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Local"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Xavier Becerra","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:37:50.066011Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:37:50.066011Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","chart_24h":[311.0,216.0,254.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"3006-160926","event_id":"3006","slug":"GEMI-CAGOV26-BECERRA","question":"Xavier Becerra","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra","description":"If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Xavier_Becerra_d2120d94-0c13-4f5a-896a-fb0e245e5d85.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.13],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-06T16:41:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:17:40.196891Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:17:36.277629Z","added_at":"2026-05-06T16:45:25.599628Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","event_title":"California Governor winner?","chart_24h":[0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93]},{"source":"gemini","id":"3006-23177","event_id":"3006","slug":"GEMI-CAGOV26-HILTON","question":"Steve Hilton","group_item_title":"Steve Hilton","description":"If Steve Hilton is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/55fn7q0byvwuy8v2NCRqtX/1efe4a3a0b6046073944f0c5e0328ef9/Steve_Hilton.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.92],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-27T23:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:37:50.246470Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:37:50.246470Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","event_title":"California Governor winner?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"gemini","id":"3006-23174","event_id":"3006","slug":"GEMI-CAGOV26-STEYER","question":"Tom Steyer","group_item_title":"Tom Steyer","description":"If Tom Steyer is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4sTQx7PUVyp1z6U0NDRWht/d6d16f135a7f1378895164c4d9161e45/Tom_Steyer.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.98],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-27T23:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:22:09.104081Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T19:31:26.555147Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","event_title":"California Governor winner?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"3006-23172","event_id":"3006","slug":"GEMI-CAGOV26-MAHAN","question":"Matt Mahan","group_item_title":"Matt Mahan","description":"If Matt Mahan is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2voWTeYm5HBB9EzqD0yBV8/b1bcf4686a0136710e2cb8380c639cd8/Matt_Mahan.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-27T23:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:22:09.104081Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-18T22:29:20.688984Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","event_title":"California Governor winner?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"3006-23173","event_id":"3006","slug":"GEMI-CAGOV26-BIANCO","question":"Chad Bianco","group_item_title":"Chad Bianco","description":"If Chad Bianco is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1UzihaUWarZ5FXvXmzH1mk/ec1ece205ea777aa4796e0b44970201a/Chad_Bianco.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.97],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-27T23:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:17:40.196891Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T04:31:47.211168Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","event_title":"California Governor winner?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"3006-23175","event_id":"3006","slug":"GEMI-CAGOV26-SWALWELL","question":"Eric Swalwell","group_item_title":"Eric Swalwell","description":"If Eric Swalwell is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1MvbIvAPWYttrGS7LZyGwb/5566b81689066d3130b641edd077978a/Eric_Swalwell.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-27T23:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:10:36.148220Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T20:30:59.086645Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","event_title":"California Governor winner?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"3006-23176","event_id":"3006","slug":"GEMI-CAGOV26-PORTER","question":"Katie Porter","group_item_title":"Katie Porter","description":"If Katie Porter is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7u1irD1mShO2gAsjYhN6bs/f2ff70adc6c41cb93bb1314927dbf7a1/Katie_Porter.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-27T23:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:48:46.570271Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-18T14:59:04.714562Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","event_title":"California Governor winner?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"3006-23178","event_id":"3006","slug":"GEMI-CAGOV26-AHN","question":"Ché Ahn","group_item_title":"Ché Ahn","description":"If Ché Ahn is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4vBW7E2g6Tf7uTXCXKKtap/56b7ec65121bb46710374a2e01a77dcc/Che%C3%8C__Ahn.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-27T23:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","event_title":"California Governor winner?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"3006-23179","event_id":"3006","slug":"GEMI-CAGOV26-WARE","question":"Butch Ware","group_item_title":"Butch Ware","description":"If Butch Ware is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3q5V5eVXrwTDviHn05Ckzf/2c1972641c90eb2d39289c9a5b3e5e71/Butch_Ware.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-27T23:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CAGOV26/california-governor-winner","event_title":"California Governor winner?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/3006","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:05:13.125949Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"California Governor winner?\" — top market at 93% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}