{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/315136","as_of":"2026-10-11T00:09:04.391520Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Kareckaite vs Gatto\" — \"Melissa Gatto\" leads at 46% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-10 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/315136","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-KAR-GAT-20261010/kareckaite-vs-gatto"},"source":"gemini","id":"315136","ticker":"UFC-KAR-GAT-20261010","slug":"kareckaite-vs-gatto","title":"Kareckaite vs Gatto","description":"Kareckaite vs Gatto","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3XIxfx0x9S2SRKZMKEFS55/05c36b6a8ead363511edb4b5ea6b53a3/UFC__1_.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T11:43:08.693000Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T09:13:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3367.24,"volume_24hr":3356.36,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.74268341064453,"normalized_volume":38.542236328125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["MMA"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Melissa Gatto","top_outcome_probability":0.46,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-10T22:25:29.659158Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T22:25:29.659158Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T11:49:44.834572Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-KAR-GAT-20261010/kareckaite-vs-gatto","chart_24h":[91.32,995.26,3354.19,3356.36],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"315136-755888","event_id":"315136","slug":"GEMI-UFC-KAR-GAT-20261010-GAT","question":"Melissa Gatto","group_item_title":"Melissa Gatto","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Melissa Gatto wins the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. 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Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1SX6c7VfQLt9ek9cNhk6SU/35a14e33b138d8d50c7efd12dac36625/250-brazil.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T09:13:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T22:04:16.393600Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T22:04:16.393600Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T11:49:45.077648Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-KAR-GAT-20261010/kareckaite-vs-gatto","event_title":"Kareckaite vs Gatto","chart_24h":[0.54,0.56,0.46]},{"source":"gemini","id":"315136-755887","event_id":"315136","slug":"GEMI-UFC-KAR-GAT-20261010-KAR","question":"Ernesta Kareckaite","group_item_title":"Ernesta Kareckaite","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Ernesta Kareckaite wins the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5G4cNqwMkdnl9SpF01e0p5/da9ddf9f667a33680db41cf61ad69af6/025-lithuania.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T09:13:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T23:08:27.945155Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T23:08:27.945155Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T11:49:45.077648Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-KAR-GAT-20261010/kareckaite-vs-gatto","event_title":"Kareckaite vs Gatto","chart_24h":[0.47,0.49,0.36,0.36]}]}