{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/332468","as_of":"2026-10-11T19:04:45.251640Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"BTC price on October 11\" — \"$83,000 or above\" leads at 99% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/332468","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11"},"source":"gemini","id":"332468","ticker":"BTC2610112100","slug":"btc-price-on-october-11","title":"BTC price on October 11","description":"Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/btc_ace6c0f4-f500-4b7d-a66c-a3ea5ea1d9e9.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T19:56:17.125000Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28410.67,"volume_24hr":28410.67,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":72.28987884521484,"normalized_volume":61.436859130859375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Bitcoin"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$83,000 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.47,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.625697Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.625697Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:17:23.558374Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","chart_24h":[0.0,74.93,118.69,158.87,201.01,488.25,500.85,523.72,558.84,598.5,603.5,657.74,917.78,920.95,937.05,1254.28,1273.0,1310.17,1353.1,1527.39,2845.72,9715.99,11298.46,12768.11,28410.67],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-795203","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI83000","question":"$83,000 or above","group_item_title":"$83,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $83,000 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.05],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.47,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:17:23.910834Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-795192","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI82250","question":"$82,250 or above","group_item_title":"$82,250 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $82,250 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.03],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T17:00:38.630069Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T17:00:38.630069Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:17:23.910834Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.88,0.97]},{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-795199","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI82750","question":"$82,750 or above","group_item_title":"$82,750 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $82,750 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.03],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.31999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T17:44:41.505765Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T17:44:41.505765Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:17:23.910834Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.97,0.96,0.96]},{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-795207","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI83250","question":"$83,250 or above","group_item_title":"$83,250 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $83,250 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.18],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.47,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:17:23.910834Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.71,0.93,0.99,0.96,0.86]},{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-795195","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI82500","question":"$82,500 or above","group_item_title":"$82,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $82,500 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.03],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T16:17:33.788967Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T16:17:33.788967Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:17:23.910834Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.74,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-795210","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI83500","question":"$83,500 or above","group_item_title":"$83,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $83,500 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.5],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:17:23.910834Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.28,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.37,0.79,0.9,0.83,0.52]},{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-800596","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI83750","question":"$83,750 or above","group_item_title":"$83,750 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $83,750 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.8],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","added_at":"2026-10-11T12:23:09.114373Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.51,0.71,0.52,0.23]},{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-801772","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI84000","question":"$84,000 or above","group_item_title":"$84,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $84,000 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.95],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","added_at":"2026-10-11T15:55:56.344247Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.07,0.25,0.4,0.2,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-801835","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI84250","question":"$84,250 or above","group_item_title":"$84,250 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $84,250 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","added_at":"2026-10-11T16:17:33.788967Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.11,0.15,0.08,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"332468-802232","event_id":"332468","slug":"GEMI-BTC2610112100-HI84500","question":"$84,500 or above","group_item_title":"$84,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $84,500 or above on October 11, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.99],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:48:45.952007Z","added_at":"2026-10-11T17:00:38.630069Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2610112100/btc-price-on-october-11","event_title":"BTC price on October 11","chart_24h":[0.06,0.04,0.03]}]}