{"source":"gemini","id":"37300","ticker":"NOBELPEACE26","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","description":"Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Nobel_Peace_Prize_f2ded408-5b80-4efd-8aba-0541edf27f97.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T18:39:59.988000Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.265594482421875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Awards"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T23:39:51.542126Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T23:39:51.542126Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.020500Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179261","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-ZELENSKYY","question":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","group_item_title":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Volodymyr Zelenskyy wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Volodymyr Zelenskyy if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is one of the named laureates. If Volodymyr Zelenskyy is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. This event is not mutually exclusive because the Nobel Peace Prize may be shared by multiple laureates. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.98],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T23:14:39.046248Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179258","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-SUDAN","question":"Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)","group_item_title":"Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) if Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) is one of the named laureates. If Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["Sudan"],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179259","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-MSF","question":"Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)","group_item_title":"Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is one of the named laureates. If Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179260","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-ALBANESE","question":"Francesca Albanese","group_item_title":"Francesca Albanese","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Francesca Albanese wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Francesca Albanese if Francesca Albanese is one of the named laureates. If Francesca Albanese is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179262","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-MOHAMMADI","question":"Narges Mohammadi","group_item_title":"Narges Mohammadi","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Narges Mohammadi wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Narges Mohammadi if Narges Mohammadi is one of the named laureates. If Narges Mohammadi is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179263","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-TRUMP","question":"Donald Trump","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Donald Trump if Donald Trump is one of the named laureates. If Donald Trump is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T23:35:09.438727Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T23:35:09.438727Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179264","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-CHD","question":"Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue","group_item_title":"Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue if Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue is one of the named laureates. If Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179265","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-MINNEAPOLIS","question":"City of Minneapolis and its people","group_item_title":"City of Minneapolis and its people","description":"This market will resolve to YES if City of Minneapolis and its people win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Minneapolis if Minneapolis is one of the named laureates. If Minneapolis is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179266","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-ICJ","question":"International Court of Justice (ICJ)","group_item_title":"International Court of Justice (ICJ)","description":"This market will resolve to YES if International Court of Justice (ICJ) wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for International Court of Justice (ICJ) if International Court of Justice (ICJ) is one of the named laureates. If International Court of Justice (ICJ) is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179267","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-MUSK","question":"Elon Musk","group_item_title":"Elon Musk","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Elon Musk wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Elon Musk if Elon Musk is one of the named laureates. If Elon Musk is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. This event is not mutually exclusive because the Nobel Peace Prize may be shared by multiple laureates. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179268","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-AMODEI","question":"Dario Amodei","group_item_title":"Dario Amodei","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Dario Amodei wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Dario Amodei if Dario Amodei is one of the named laureates. If Dario Amodei is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179269","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-CPJ","question":"Committee to Protect Journalists","group_item_title":"Committee to Protect Journalists","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Committee to Protect Journalists wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Committee to Protect Journalists if Committee to Protect Journalists is one of the named laureates. If Committee to Protect Journalists is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179270","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-ICC","question":"International Criminal Court","group_item_title":"International Criminal Court","description":"This market will resolve to YES if International Criminal Court wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for International Criminal Court if International Criminal Court is one of the named laureates. If International Criminal Court is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. This event is not mutually exclusive because the Nobel Peace Prize may be shared by multiple laureates. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179271","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-ALTMAN","question":"Sam Altman","group_item_title":"Sam Altman","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Sam Altman wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Sam Altman if Sam Altman is one of the named laureates. If Sam Altman is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. This event is not mutually exclusive because the Nobel Peace Prize may be shared by multiple laureates. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179272","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-EU","question":"European Union","group_item_title":"European Union","description":"This market will resolve to YES if European Union wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for European Union if European Union is one of the named laureates. If European Union is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. This event is not mutually exclusive because the Nobel Peace Prize may be shared by multiple laureates. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179273","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-SAVETHECHILDREN","question":"Save the Children","group_item_title":"Save the Children","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Save the Children wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Save the Children if Save the Children is one of the named laureates. If Save the Children is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179274","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-KULEBA","question":"Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine","group_item_title":"Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine if Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine is one of the named laureates. If Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179275","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-UNRWA","question":"UNRWA","group_item_title":"UNRWA","description":"This market will resolve to YES if UNRWA wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for UNRWA if UNRWA is one of the named laureates. If UNRWA is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"37300-179276","event_id":"37300","slug":"GEMI-NOBELPEACE26-NAVALNAYA","question":"Yulia Navalnaya","group_item_title":"Yulia Navalnaya","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Yulia Navalnaya wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Yulia Navalnaya if Yulia Navalnaya is one of the named laureates. If Yulia Navalnaya is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T18:42:12.147788Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NOBELPEACE26/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/37300","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:31:32.079833Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026\" — top market at 99% probability across 19 outcomes","source_url":null}}