{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/401689","as_of":"2026-10-30T22:13:24.275975Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"BTC price on November 6\" — \"$75,000 or above\" leads at 70% across 9 outcomes as of 2026-10-30 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/401689","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6"},"source":"gemini","id":"401689","ticker":"BTC2611062200","slug":"btc-price-on-november-6","title":"BTC price on November 6","description":"Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/btc_ace6c0f4-f500-4b7d-a66c-a3ea5ea1d9e9.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:26:00.247000Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4734.47,"volume_24hr":4734.47,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.65037536621094,"normalized_volume":38.80540466308594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Bitcoin"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$75,000 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.7,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.029999999999999916,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-30T19:19:35.803583Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T19:19:35.803583Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T09:42:56.663865Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","chart_24h":[0.0,50.42,118.73,4734.47],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":9,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"401689-938908","event_id":"401689","slug":"GEMI-BTC2611062200-HI75000","question":"$75,000 or above","group_item_title":"$75,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $75,000 or above on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.33],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.029999999999999916,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T19:42:05.559412Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","event_title":"BTC price on November 6","chart_24h":[0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69]},{"source":"gemini","id":"401689-936821","event_id":"401689","slug":"GEMI-BTC2611062200-HI75500","question":"$75,500 or above","group_item_title":"$75,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $75,500 or above on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.38],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.05999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T09:42:57.640692Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","event_title":"BTC price on November 6","chart_24h":[0.72,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65]},{"source":"gemini","id":"401689-936822","event_id":"401689","slug":"GEMI-BTC2611062200-HI76000","question":"$76,000 or above","group_item_title":"$76,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $76,000 or above on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.42],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T09:42:57.640692Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","event_title":"BTC price on November 6","chart_24h":[0.68,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"gemini","id":"401689-936824","event_id":"401689","slug":"GEMI-BTC2611062200-HI76500","question":"$76,500 or above","group_item_title":"$76,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $76,500 or above on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.47],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T09:42:57.640692Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","event_title":"BTC price on November 6","chart_24h":[0.64,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56]},{"source":"gemini","id":"401689-936825","event_id":"401689","slug":"GEMI-BTC2611062200-HI77000","question":"$77,000 or above","group_item_title":"$77,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $77,000 or above on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.52],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T09:42:57.640692Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","event_title":"BTC price on November 6","chart_24h":[0.6,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51]},{"source":"gemini","id":"401689-936826","event_id":"401689","slug":"GEMI-BTC2611062200-HI77500","question":"$77,500 or above","group_item_title":"$77,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $77,500 or above on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.57],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000007,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T09:42:57.640692Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","event_title":"BTC price on November 6","chart_24h":[0.55,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46]},{"source":"gemini","id":"401689-936828","event_id":"401689","slug":"GEMI-BTC2611062200-HI78000","question":"$78,000 or above","group_item_title":"$78,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $78,000 or above on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.61],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T09:42:57.640692Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","event_title":"BTC price on November 6","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.42]},{"source":"gemini","id":"401689-936829","event_id":"401689","slug":"GEMI-BTC2611062200-HI78500","question":"$78,500 or above","group_item_title":"$78,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $78,500 or above on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.66],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.09000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T09:42:57.640692Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","event_title":"BTC price on November 6","chart_24h":[0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.37]},{"source":"gemini","id":"401689-936831","event_id":"401689","slug":"GEMI-BTC2611062200-HI79000","question":"$79,000 or above","group_item_title":"$79,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $79,000 or above on November 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the LS-LRRR-XBTUSD index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_398860b3-ea2f-47a7-b167-a8c6ad03d6d7.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.7],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T09:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:11:36.462878Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T09:42:57.640692Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2611062200/btc-price-on-november-6","event_title":"BTC price on November 6","chart_24h":[0.41,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.33]}]}