{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/405136","as_of":"2026-11-01T06:44:35.261736Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 1, 2026?\" — \"66°F or below\" leads at 58% across 6 outcomes as of 2026-10-31 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/405136","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459/highest-temperature-in-las-vegas-on-november-1-2026"},"source":"gemini","id":"405136","ticker":"WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459","slug":"highest-temperature-in-las-vegas-on-november-1-2026","title":"Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 1, 2026?","description":"Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 1, 2026?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Las_Vegas_bff4188c-bd98-4b27-947a-2f31e49d32ed.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T12:55:22.048000Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":["Daily Temperature"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"66°F or below","top_outcome_probability":0.58,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-31T14:06:57.384487Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T14:06:57.384487Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T14:06:57.384487Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459/highest-temperature-in-las-vegas-on-november-1-2026","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"405136-944204","event_id":"405136","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459-LO66","question":"66°F or below","group_item_title":"66°F or below","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV, NV on November 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas NV, NV.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV on November 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for November 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.47],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T06:27:03.419633Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T06:27:03.419633Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T14:06:58.688891Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459/highest-temperature-in-las-vegas-on-november-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58]},{"source":"gemini","id":"405136-944206","event_id":"405136","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459-67TO68","question":"67°F to 68°F","group_item_title":"67°F to 68°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV, NV on November 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas NV, NV.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV on November 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for November 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.64],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:44:23.695332Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:44:23.695332Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T14:06:58.688891Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459/highest-temperature-in-las-vegas-on-november-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39]},{"source":"gemini","id":"405136-944208","event_id":"405136","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459-69TO70","question":"69°F to 70°F","group_item_title":"69°F to 70°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV, NV on November 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas NV, NV.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV on November 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for November 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.97],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.08,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T06:27:03.419633Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T06:27:03.419633Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T14:06:58.688891Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459/highest-temperature-in-las-vegas-on-november-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08]},{"source":"gemini","id":"405136-944211","event_id":"405136","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459-71TO72","question":"71°F to 72°F","group_item_title":"71°F to 72°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV, NV on November 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas NV, NV.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV on November 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for November 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T00:19:50.654237Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T00:19:50.654237Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T14:06:58.688891Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459/highest-temperature-in-las-vegas-on-november-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"405136-944214","event_id":"405136","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459-73TO74","question":"73°F to 74°F","group_item_title":"73°F to 74°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV, NV on November 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas NV, NV.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV on November 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for November 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T03:12:18.403488Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T03:12:18.403488Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T14:06:58.688891Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459/highest-temperature-in-las-vegas-on-november-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"405136-944217","event_id":"405136","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459-HI75","question":"75°F or above","group_item_title":"75°F or above","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV, NV on November 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas NV, NV.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Las Vegas NV on November 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for November 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.049999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T15:09:37.104994Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T15:09:37.104994Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T14:06:58.688891Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-LAS-2611020459/highest-temperature-in-las-vegas-on-november-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.01]}]}