{"source":"gemini","id":"4064","ticker":"COPRES2026","slug":"colombia-presidential-election-winner-2026","title":"Colombia Presidential Election Winner 2026?","description":"Who will win the next Colombian presidential election?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4FD8KyqhHLdf1OWfxqju9Y/bb1a9f7c8fc12190930d1f26738de087/Columbia.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-04T16:57:50.856000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9264.0,"volume_24hr":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":46.120079040527344,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["International"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Abelardo de la Espriella","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T02:51:38.255532Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T02:51:38.255532Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/COPRES2026/colombia-presidential-election-winner-2026","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"4064-33289","event_id":"4064","slug":"GEMI-COPRES2026-ESPRIELLA","question":"Abelardo de la Espriella","group_item_title":"Abelardo de la Espriella","description":"This market will resolve on whether Abelardo de la Espriella wins the next Colombian presidential election (scheduled to be held in 2026 at the latest). \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Colombia’s National Electoral Council (CNE). This market will resolve to YES if Abelardo de la Espriella is officially certified/declared elected by the CNE and is subsequently sworn in, or if the inauguration date passes without a different person taking office. \n\nThe market will resolve for Abelardo de la Espriella even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office. If the election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date for a maximum of two years. Contested results resolve based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2DHZCaBZL0nI0kC8Qe3CAO/5bd16e3d19f5a1ec487f27544820ad8a/Abelardo_de_la_Espriella.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.2],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-04T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Colombia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:24.147948Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:58:46.899375Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/COPRES2026/colombia-presidential-election-winner-2026","event_title":"Colombia Presidential Election Winner 2026?","chart_24h":[0.9,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4064-33291","event_id":"4064","slug":"GEMI-COPRES2026-CEPEDA","question":"Iván Cepeda Castro","group_item_title":"Iván Cepeda Castro","description":"This market will resolve on whether Iván Cepeda Castro wins the next Colombian presidential election (scheduled to be held in 2026 at the latest). \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Colombia’s National Electoral Council (CNE). This market will resolve to YES if Iván Cepeda Castro is officially certified/declared elected by the CNE and is subsequently sworn in, or if the inauguration date passes without a different person taking office. \n\nThe market will resolve for Iván Cepeda Castro even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office. If the election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date for a maximum of two years. Contested results resolve based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4iGgSs43dpbaGvV5VcZVE9/9d3ef4cfb069058ae89ef0dcc8b6f64e/Iva%C3%8C_n_Cepeda_Castro.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.89],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-04T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Colombia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:53:49.835616Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T00:47:37.429983Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/COPRES2026/colombia-presidential-election-winner-2026","event_title":"Colombia Presidential Election Winner 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4064-33292","event_id":"4064","slug":"GEMI-COPRES2026-VALENCIA","question":"Paloma Valencia","group_item_title":"Paloma Valencia","description":"This market will resolve on whether Paloma Valencia wins the next Colombian presidential election (scheduled to be held in 2026 at the latest). \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Colombia’s National Electoral Council (CNE). This market will resolve to YES if Paloma Valencia is officially certified/declared elected by the CNE and is subsequently sworn in, or if the inauguration date passes without a different person taking office. \n\nThe market will resolve for Paloma Valencia even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office. If the election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date for a maximum of two years. Contested results resolve based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/44rqcTbfgKyAHJY7Qg3FG1/2cf65ce0877475dd13d8c196e64185f6/Paloma_Valencia.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.99],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-04T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Colombia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:16:01.962201Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T20:24:57.229394Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/COPRES2026/colombia-presidential-election-winner-2026","event_title":"Colombia Presidential Election Winner 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/4064","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:03:02.001304Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Colombia Presidential Election Winner 2026?\" — top market at 89% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}