{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/414335","as_of":"2026-11-08T10:07:47.185475Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Hull vs Arsenal: Point Spread\" — closed 2026-11-09; final leader \"Reg Time: Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals\" at 36%. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/414335","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS/hull-vs-arsenal-point-spread"},"source":"gemini","id":"414335","ticker":"EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS","slug":"hull-vs-arsenal-point-spread","title":"Hull vs Arsenal: Point Spread","description":"What will the goal difference be?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Soccer_eb4baf30-095c-4b92-ae46-f6bf5061a57d.avif","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-11-02T15:22:37.368000Z","end_date":"2026-11-09T03:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37797.64,"volume_24hr":37797.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":79.33599090576172,"normalized_volume":57.58399200439453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["EPL"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Reg Time: Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals","top_outcome_probability":0.36,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.31000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.566572Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.566572Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T15:26:47.097291Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS/hull-vs-arsenal-point-spread","chart_24h":[5.05,37797.64,37797.64],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"414335-978629","event_id":"414335","slug":"GEMI-EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS-ARS1","question":"Reg Time: Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals","group_item_title":"Reg Time: Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals","description":"If Arsenal beats Hull City by more than 1.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Arsenal's goals minus Hull City's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/EPL-ARS-Dark_54cc7f10-afad-44de-b725-4de4d59e6523.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.69],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.05,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-11-02T14:55:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-09T03:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.31000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T15:26:47.302453Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS/hull-vs-arsenal-point-spread","event_title":"Hull vs Arsenal: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.44,0.36,0.36]},{"source":"gemini","id":"414335-978628","event_id":"414335","slug":"GEMI-EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS-ARS2","question":"Reg Time: Arsenal wins by more than 2.5 goals","group_item_title":"Reg Time: Arsenal wins by more than 2.5 goals","description":"If Arsenal beats Hull City by more than 2.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Arsenal's goals minus Hull City's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/EPL-ARS-Dark_54cc7f10-afad-44de-b725-4de4d59e6523.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.99],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-11-02T14:55:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-09T03:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T15:26:47.302453Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS/hull-vs-arsenal-point-spread","event_title":"Hull vs Arsenal: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.2,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"414335-1043246","event_id":"414335","slug":"GEMI-EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS-ARS3","question":"Reg Time: Arsenal wins by more than 3.5 goals","group_item_title":"Reg Time: Arsenal wins by more than 3.5 goals","description":"If Arsenal beats Hull City by more than 3.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Arsenal's goals minus Hull City's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/EPL-ARS-Dark_54cc7f10-afad-44de-b725-4de4d59e6523.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.99],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.05,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-11-02T14:55:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-09T03:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","added_at":"2026-11-07T15:39:39.761487Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS/hull-vs-arsenal-point-spread","event_title":"Hull vs Arsenal: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.12,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"414335-978630","event_id":"414335","slug":"GEMI-EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS-HUL1","question":"Reg Time: Hull wins by more than 1.5 goals","group_item_title":"Reg Time: Hull wins by more than 1.5 goals","description":"If Hull City beats Arsenal by more than 1.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Hull City's goals minus Arsenal's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Hull_b039481d-416f-4e5f-8dae-88e0196c855e.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-11-02T14:55:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-09T03:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.01,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T15:26:47.302453Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS/hull-vs-arsenal-point-spread","event_title":"Hull vs Arsenal: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.02,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"gemini","id":"414335-978631","event_id":"414335","slug":"GEMI-EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS-HUL2","question":"Reg Time: Hull wins by more than 2.5 goals","group_item_title":"Reg Time: Hull wins by more than 2.5 goals","description":"If Hull City beats Arsenal by more than 2.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Hull City's goals minus Arsenal's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Hull_b039481d-416f-4e5f-8dae-88e0196c855e.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-11-02T14:55:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-09T03:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T17:04:58.577284Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T15:26:47.302453Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/EPL-2611071500-HUL-ARS-REGS/hull-vs-arsenal-point-spread","event_title":"Hull vs Arsenal: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}]}