{"source":"gemini","id":"4396","ticker":"GDP2026","slug":"us-gdp-growth-in-2026","title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","description":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2kbKQHc7g1fEIGLV1Y5wdQ/575a4856ab1510847c19044ca30dfefe/Contract_Image__1_.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T16:35:30.943000Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2869.0,"volume_24hr":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.04449462890625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Macro Indicators"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"1.6 to 2.0","top_outcome_probability":0.29,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-05-18T21:28:02.905266Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-18T21:28:02.905266Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35953","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-16TO20","question":"1.6 to 2.0","group_item_title":"1.6 to 2.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 1.6 to 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.77],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T20:20:30.221322Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.29,0.29]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35955","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-21TO25","question":"2.1 to 2.5","group_item_title":"2.1 to 2.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 2.1 to 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.75],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:58:56.665657Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35959","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-26TO30","question":"2.6 to 3.0","group_item_title":"2.6 to 3.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 2.6 to 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.88],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T19:39:40.025279Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35954","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-11TO15","question":"1.1 to 1.5","group_item_title":"1.1 to 1.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 1.1 to 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.92],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:11:18.391736Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:21:55.270221Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35952","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-06TO10","question":"0.6 to 1.0","group_item_title":"0.6 to 1.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 0.6 to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.99],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T01:15:59.147357Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35956","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-01TO05","question":"0.1 to 0.5","group_item_title":"0.1 to 0.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 0.1 to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.99],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:22:09.104081Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T09:53:09.324919Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35960","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-31TO35","question":"3.1 to 3.5","group_item_title":"3.1 to 3.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 3.1 to 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:58:56.665657Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-17T20:59:04.350988Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35957","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-46TO50","question":"4.6 to 5.0","group_item_title":"4.6 to 5.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 4.6 to 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35958","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-36TO40","question":"3.6 to 4.0","group_item_title":"3.6 to 4.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 3.6 to 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35961","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-41TO45","question":"4.1 to 4.5","group_item_title":"4.1 to 4.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 4.1 to 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/4396","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:04:06.572057Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"US GDP Growth in 2026?\" — top market at 29% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}