{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/4396","as_of":"2026-10-24T00:57:09.238342Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"US GDP Growth in 2026?\" — \"2.1 to 2.5\" leads at 52% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/4396","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026"},"source":"gemini","id":"4396","ticker":"GDP2026","slug":"us-gdp-growth-in-2026","title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","description":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Contract_Image__1__7441f135-2049-402f-b94b-da11cb6b1e9e.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T16:35:30.943000Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24744.0,"volume_24hr":133.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.310626983642578,"normalized_volume":56.5545654296875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Macro Indicators"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"2.1 to 2.5","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.325583Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.325583Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35955","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-21TO25","question":"2.1 to 2.5","group_item_title":"2.1 to 2.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 2.1 to 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. 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Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.49],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:21:24.589689Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:21:24.589689Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35953","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-16TO20","question":"1.6 to 2.0","group_item_title":"1.6 to 2.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 1.6 to 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.72],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.334661Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.334661Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35959","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-26TO30","question":"2.6 to 3.0","group_item_title":"2.6 to 3.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 2.6 to 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.84],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.334661Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.334661Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35954","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-11TO15","question":"1.1 to 1.5","group_item_title":"1.1 to 1.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 1.1 to 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.98],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.334661Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.334661Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35956","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-01TO05","question":"0.1 to 0.5","group_item_title":"0.1 to 0.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 0.1 to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T21:17:29.517789Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T21:17:29.517789Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35960","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-31TO35","question":"3.1 to 3.5","group_item_title":"3.1 to 3.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 3.1 to 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.97],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.334661Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T05:02:27.334661Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35952","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-06TO10","question":"0.6 to 1.0","group_item_title":"0.6 to 1.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 0.6 to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T14:06:35.981539Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T14:06:35.981539Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35957","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-46TO50","question":"4.6 to 5.0","group_item_title":"4.6 to 5.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 4.6 to 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T04:46:00.290718Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T04:46:00.290718Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35958","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-36TO40","question":"3.6 to 4.0","group_item_title":"3.6 to 4.0","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 3.6 to 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T04:46:00.290718Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T04:46:00.290718Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"4396-35961","event_id":"4396","slug":"GEMI-GDP2026-41TO45","question":"4.1 to 4.5","group_item_title":"4.1 to 4.5","description":"If GDP growth in 2026 is between 4.1 to 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T04:46:00.290718Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T04:46:00.290718Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GDP2026/us-gdp-growth-in-2026","event_title":"US GDP Growth in 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}