{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/4398","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:51:09.586255Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Tesla Optimus released this year?\" — 10% as of 2026-10-19 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/4398","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/OPTIMUSRELEASE/tesla-optimus-released-this-year"},"source":"gemini","id":"4398","ticker":"OPTIMUSRELEASE","slug":"tesla-optimus-released-this-year","title":"Tesla Optimus released this year?","description":"Tesla Optimus released this year?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Tesla_Optimus_98fb6049-e48f-471f-862f-62cdee5179fc.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T16:37:55.836000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2846.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.96157455444336,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":["Business"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.1,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-19T14:32:42.450283Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T14:32:42.450283Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/OPTIMUSRELEASE/tesla-optimus-released-this-year","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"4398-35966","event_id":"4398","slug":"GEMI-OPTIMUSRELEASE-YES","question":"Yes","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from [Tesla](https://www.tesla.com/blog).\n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fb23f2b4792a847e3bfec991659d45b22?alt=media&token=ecada097-8f14-4780-87c1-2cdbc54d648f&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.92],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:52:35.428921Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:52:35.428921Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/OPTIMUSRELEASE/tesla-optimus-released-this-year","event_title":"Tesla Optimus released this year?","chart_24h":null}]}