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Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Iowa Senate election. 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Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Iowa Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:16:28.414000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:40:37.544168Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26IA/iowa-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Iowa US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93889-282137","event_id":"93889","slug":"GEMI-SEN26IA-NATHANSAGE","question":"Nathan Sage","group_item_title":"Nathan Sage","description":"If Nathan Sage wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Iowa Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:16:28.159000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:40:37.544168Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26IA/iowa-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Iowa US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/93889","as_of":"2026-06-21T13:45:45.891037Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Iowa US Senate Winner\" — top market at 61% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}