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Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election. 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Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election. 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Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.99],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T10:11:20.273360Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T05:15:53.286591Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:40:37.544168Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26MT/montana-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Montana US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93896-282169","event_id":"93896","slug":"GEMI-SEN26MT-STEVEDAINES","question":"Steve Daines","group_item_title":"Steve Daines","description":"If Steve Daines wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:17:45.971000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:40:37.544168Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26MT/montana-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Montana US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93896-282172","event_id":"93896","slug":"GEMI-SEN26MT-MICHAELBLACKWOLF","question":"Michael Black Wolf","group_item_title":"Michael Black Wolf","description":"If Michael Black Wolf wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:17:46.242000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:40:37.544168Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26MT/montana-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Montana US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93896-282173","event_id":"93896","slug":"GEMI-SEN26MT-REILLYNEILL","question":"Reilly Neill","group_item_title":"Reilly Neill","description":"If Reilly Neill wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:17:45.657000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:40:37.544168Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26MT/montana-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Montana US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93896-282178","event_id":"93896","slug":"GEMI-SEN26MT-MICHAELHUMMERT","question":"Michael Hummert","group_item_title":"Michael Hummert","description":"If Michael Hummert wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:17:45.363000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:40:37.544168Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26MT/montana-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Montana US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93896-285005","event_id":"93896","slug":"GEMI-SEN26MT-KYLEAUSTIN","question":"Kyle Austin","group_item_title":"Kyle Austin","description":"If Kyle Austin wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T20:46:28.405012Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T20:46:28.405012Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:46:28.405012Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26MT/montana-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Montana US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/93896","as_of":"2026-06-23T10:51:54.320753Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Montana US Senate Winner\" — top market at 98% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}