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Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Texas Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.62],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T19:15:36.387213Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-19T01:00:57.735034Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26TX/texas-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Texas US Senate Winner","chart_24h":[0.59,0.59]},{"source":"gemini","id":"93910-282211","event_id":"93910","slug":"GEMI-SEN26TX-JAMESTALARICO","question":"James Talarico","group_item_title":"James Talarico","description":"If James Talarico wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Texas Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.78],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T18:34:40.306325Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T20:55:58.175077Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26TX/texas-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Texas US Senate Winner","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43]},{"source":"gemini","id":"93910-282214","event_id":"93910","slug":"GEMI-SEN26TX-JOHNCORNYN","question":"John Cornyn","group_item_title":"John Cornyn","description":"If John Cornyn wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Texas Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:17:35.085000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26TX/texas-us-senate-winner","event_title":"Texas US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/93910","as_of":"2026-06-21T13:46:44.833634Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Texas US Senate Winner\" — top market at 59% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}