{"source":"gemini","id":"93913","ticker":"SEN26WV","slug":"west-virginia-us-senate-winner","title":"West Virginia US Senate Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/West_Virginia_af2e83de-6eba-43ac-8b89-1b8cbc1686de.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T22:55:47.647000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Midterms"],"tags":["Senate"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Shelley Moore Capito","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-25T15:56:17.710372Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T15:56:17.710372Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.205913Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26WV/west-virginia-us-senate-winner","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"93913-282215","event_id":"93913","slug":"GEMI-SEN26WV-SHELLEYMOORECAPI","question":"Shelley Moore Capito","group_item_title":"Shelley Moore Capito","description":"If Shelley Moore Capito wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the West Virginia Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.09],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Midterms"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T00:18:08.384035Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T20:54:53.842558Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26WV/west-virginia-us-senate-winner","event_title":"West Virginia US Senate Winner","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97]},{"source":"gemini","id":"93913-282220","event_id":"93913","slug":"GEMI-SEN26WV-RACHELANDERSON","question":"Rachel Anderson","group_item_title":"Rachel Anderson","description":"If Rachel Anderson wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the West Virginia Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.99],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Midterms"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T14:03:22.459230Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T20:54:53.842558Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26WV/west-virginia-us-senate-winner","event_title":"West Virginia US Senate Winner","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"gemini","id":"93913-282216","event_id":"93913","slug":"GEMI-SEN26WV-ZACHSHREWSBURY","question":"Zach Shrewsbury","group_item_title":"Zach Shrewsbury","description":"If Zach Shrewsbury wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the West Virginia Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:17:11.563000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Midterms"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26WV/west-virginia-us-senate-winner","event_title":"West Virginia US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93913-282219","event_id":"93913","slug":"GEMI-SEN26WV-TOMWILLIS","question":"Tom Willis","group_item_title":"Tom Willis","description":"If Tom Willis wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the West Virginia Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:16:27.332000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Midterms"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26WV/west-virginia-us-senate-winner","event_title":"West Virginia US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93913-282221","event_id":"93913","slug":"GEMI-SEN26WV-JANETMCNULTY","question":"Janet McNulty","group_item_title":"Janet McNulty","description":"If Janet McNulty wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the West Virginia Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:15:39.988000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Midterms"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26WV/west-virginia-us-senate-winner","event_title":"West Virginia US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93913-282222","event_id":"93913","slug":"GEMI-SEN26WV-THORNTONCOOPER","question":"Thornton Cooper","group_item_title":"Thornton Cooper","description":"If Thornton Cooper wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the West Virginia Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:16:49.716000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Midterms"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26WV/west-virginia-us-senate-winner","event_title":"West Virginia US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93913-282223","event_id":"93913","slug":"GEMI-SEN26WV-ALEXANDERGAASERUD","question":"Alexander Gaaserud","group_item_title":"Alexander Gaaserud","description":"If Alexander Gaaserud wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the West Virginia Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:15:59.978000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Midterms"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26WV/west-virginia-us-senate-winner","event_title":"West Virginia US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"93913-282226","event_id":"93913","slug":"GEMI-SEN26WV-DAVIDPURKEY","question":"David Purkey","group_item_title":"David Purkey","description":"If David Purkey wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the West Virginia Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T23:14:50.672000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Midterms"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:18:49.220647Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T23:29:15.867513Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:50.425488Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SEN26WV/west-virginia-us-senate-winner","event_title":"West Virginia US Senate Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/93913","as_of":"2026-07-07T16:12:17.161718Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"West Virginia US Senate Winner\" — top market at 97% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}