{"source":"gemini","id":"95357","ticker":"BALLONDOR26","slug":"who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","description":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Ballon_dOr_664d3d1b-ca03-405e-a15d-938e33231adc.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T19:02:58.483000Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1050.0,"volume_24hr":1050.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.579349517822266,"normalized_volume":26.198734283447266,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["Soccer"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Harry Kane","top_outcome_probability":0.39,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999962,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T02:40:52.691714Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T02:40:52.691714Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.459154Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284604","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-KANE","question":"Harry Kane","group_item_title":"Harry Kane","description":"If Harry Kane wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. 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Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.96],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T02:41:01.658668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T23:57:31.376697Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284602","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-DEMBELE","question":"Ousmane Dembele","group_item_title":"Ousmane Dembele","description":"If Ousmane Dembele wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.98],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T00:58:51.697521Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T00:58:45.219109Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284605","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-MBAPPE","question":"Kylian Mbappe","group_item_title":"Kylian Mbappe","description":"If Kylian Mbappe wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.97],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T00:38:30.042441Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T23:57:31.376697Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284601","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-OLISE","question":"Michael Olise","group_item_title":"Michael Olise","description":"If Michael Olise wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284606","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-VITINHA","question":"Vitinha","group_item_title":"Vitinha","description":"If Vitinha wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284607","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-FERNANDES","question":"Bruno Fernandes","group_item_title":"Bruno Fernandes","description":"If Bruno Fernandes wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284608","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-MESSI","question":"Lionel Messi","group_item_title":"Lionel Messi","description":"If Lionel Messi wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284609","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RONALDO","question":"Cristiano Ronaldo","group_item_title":"Cristiano Ronaldo","description":"If Cristiano Ronaldo wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284610","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RICE","question":"Declan Rice","group_item_title":"Declan Rice","description":"If Declan Rice wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284611","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-SAKA","question":"Bukayo Saka","group_item_title":"Bukayo Saka","description":"If Bukayo Saka wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284612","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-HAALAND","question":"Erling Haaland","group_item_title":"Erling Haaland","description":"If Erling Haaland wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284613","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-VINICIUS","question":"Vinicius Junior","group_item_title":"Vinicius Junior","description":"If Vinicius Junior wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284614","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-BARCOLA","question":"Bradley Barcola","group_item_title":"Bradley Barcola","description":"If Bradley Barcola wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284615","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-PALMER","question":"Cole Palmer","group_item_title":"Cole Palmer","description":"If Cole Palmer wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284616","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-KVARATSKHELIA","question":"Khvicha Kvaratskhelia","group_item_title":"Khvicha Kvaratskhelia","description":"If Khvicha Kvaratskhelia wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284617","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-DOUE","question":"Desire Doue","group_item_title":"Desire Doue","description":"If Desire Doue wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284618","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-DONNARUMMA","question":"Gianluigi Donnarumma","group_item_title":"Gianluigi Donnarumma","description":"If Gianluigi Donnarumma wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284619","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-DIAZ","question":"Luis Diaz","group_item_title":"Luis Diaz","description":"If Luis Diaz wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284620","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-BELLINGHAM","question":"Jude Bellingham","group_item_title":"Jude Bellingham","description":"If Jude Bellingham wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284621","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-SALAH","question":"Mohamed Salah","group_item_title":"Mohamed Salah","description":"If Mohamed Salah wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284622","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-PEDRI","question":"Pedri","group_item_title":"Pedri","description":"If Pedri wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284623","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RASHFORD","question":"Marcus Rashford","group_item_title":"Marcus Rashford","description":"If Marcus Rashford wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284624","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-MENDES","question":"Nuno Mendes","group_item_title":"Nuno Mendes","description":"If Nuno Mendes wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284625","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-LAUTARO","question":"Lautaro Martinez","group_item_title":"Lautaro Martinez","description":"If Lautaro Martinez wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284626","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RODRI","question":"Rodri","group_item_title":"Rodri","description":"If Rodri wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284627","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-CHERKI","question":"Rayan Cherki","group_item_title":"Rayan Cherki","description":"If Rayan Cherki wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284628","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RAPHINHA","question":"Raphinha","group_item_title":"Raphinha","description":"If Raphinha wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284629","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-MCTOMINAY","question":"Scott McTominay","group_item_title":"Scott McTominay","description":"If Scott McTominay wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284630","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-FODEN","question":"Phil Foden","group_item_title":"Phil Foden","description":"If Phil Foden wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284631","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-REIJNDERS","question":"Tijjani Reijnders","group_item_title":"Tijjani Reijnders","description":"If Tijjani Reijnders wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/95357","as_of":"2026-06-22T07:10:24.434265Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?\" — top market at 39% probability across 31 outcomes","source_url":null}}