{"source":"gemini","id":"95357","ticker":"BALLONDOR26","slug":"who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","description":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Ballon_dOr_664d3d1b-ca03-405e-a15d-938e33231adc.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T19:02:58.483000Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":63435.0,"volume_24hr":1237.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.036216735839844,"normalized_volume":75.98361206054688,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["Soccer"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Harry Kane","top_outcome_probability":0.59,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-09T06:31:24.556521Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T06:31:24.556521Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.459154Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","chart_24h":[458.0,450.0,516.0,703.0,658.0,876.0,915.0,697.0,707.0,1237.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284604","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-KANE","question":"Harry Kane","group_item_title":"Harry Kane","description":"If Harry Kane wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/152-england_4d36bfb6-60b8-404b-9579-9d98b6d58b72.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.42],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T08:56:18.662222Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T08:56:08.988512Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.59]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284603","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-YAMAL","question":"Lamine Yamal","group_item_title":"Lamine Yamal","description":"If Lamine Yamal wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/044-spain_3348d5f9-faf1-4653-9ce2-53ab2a0285cf.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.83],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T19:28:24.970971Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T19:28:11.858158Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.18]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284605","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-MBAPPE","question":"Kylian Mbappe","group_item_title":"Kylian Mbappe","description":"If Kylian Mbappe wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/077-france_de1f8053-63c6-4de2-bfc1-63a232091e82.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.91],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T07:12:37.469575Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T07:12:37.469575Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284626","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RODRI","question":"Rodri","group_item_title":"Rodri","description":"If Rodri wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/044-spain_3348d5f9-faf1-4653-9ce2-53ab2a0285cf.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.93],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T03:05:14.936577Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T03:05:05.123812Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284602","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-DEMBELE","question":"Ousmane Dembele","group_item_title":"Ousmane Dembele","description":"If Ousmane Dembele wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/077-france_b9f2ab4a-00de-42bc-8954-d5d09c35cd1e.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.98],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T06:31:24.880694Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T06:31:24.880694Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284608","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-MESSI","question":"Lionel Messi","group_item_title":"Lionel Messi","description":"If Lionel Messi wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/064-argentina_26dc502a-1b29-4ede-a496-501fc96276ff.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.98],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T22:34:38.388269Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T22:34:38.388269Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284601","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-OLISE","question":"Michael Olise","group_item_title":"Michael Olise","description":"If Michael Olise wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/077-france_771bad87-8851-475a-bab1-4ab49d2ca33b.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T23:57:30.094330Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:07:40.821746Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284606","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-VITINHA","question":"Vitinha","group_item_title":"Vitinha","description":"If Vitinha wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/174-portugal_553a3aec-81d9-4f8b-a1be-93115aec2f87.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T23:57:30.094330Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:07:40.821746Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284607","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-FERNANDES","question":"Bruno Fernandes","group_item_title":"Bruno Fernandes","description":"If Bruno Fernandes wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/174-portugal_978f0ba5-27ff-4aec-8865-3a6189bd364f.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T23:57:30.094330Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:07:40.821746Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284609","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RONALDO","question":"Cristiano Ronaldo","group_item_title":"Cristiano Ronaldo","description":"If Cristiano Ronaldo wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/174-portugal_fe20a25b-d0ad-4e23-9d4c-b99111d4bac2.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T23:57:30.094330Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:07:40.821746Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284610","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RICE","question":"Declan Rice","group_item_title":"Declan Rice","description":"If Declan Rice wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/152-england_4d36bfb6-60b8-404b-9579-9d98b6d58b72.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T23:57:30.094330Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:07:40.821746Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284611","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-SAKA","question":"Bukayo Saka","group_item_title":"Bukayo Saka","description":"If Bukayo Saka wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/152-england_4d36bfb6-60b8-404b-9579-9d98b6d58b72.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T02:03:01.739898Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T22:00:11.588404Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284612","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-HAALAND","question":"Erling Haaland","group_item_title":"Erling Haaland","description":"If Erling Haaland wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/058-norway_19dcf808-2d88-47a1-a7d1-1eca63e01606.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T01:21:18.957132Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T02:22:16.288891Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284613","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-VINICIUS","question":"Vinicius Junior","group_item_title":"Vinicius Junior","description":"If Vinicius Junior wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/250-brazil_182780ad-a419-4ba2-b015-ba0d6a072ba1.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T02:03:01.739898Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T18:29:26.642747Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284614","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-BARCOLA","question":"Bradley Barcola","group_item_title":"Bradley Barcola","description":"If Bradley Barcola wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/077-france_4f418d8f-b943-4115-920b-1c17bca888c5.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T11:33:49.233937Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T19:30:18.199404Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284615","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-PALMER","question":"Cole Palmer","group_item_title":"Cole Palmer","description":"If Cole Palmer wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/152-england_4d36bfb6-60b8-404b-9579-9d98b6d58b72.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T00:18:19.683331Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T00:17:53.401666Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284616","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-KVARATSKHELIA","question":"Khvicha Kvaratskhelia","group_item_title":"Khvicha Kvaratskhelia","description":"If Khvicha Kvaratskhelia wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/256-georgia_5cb1af93-2c2c-45e8-8c57-e3358be9b3c8.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T23:57:30.094330Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T21:30:39.940055Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284617","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-DOUE","question":"Desire Doue","group_item_title":"Desire Doue","description":"If Desire Doue wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/077-france_b4ec950f-8fa5-48aa-9eb0-17e8e9d6c693.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T00:18:19.683331Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T00:17:53.401666Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284618","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-DONNARUMMA","question":"Gianluigi Donnarumma","group_item_title":"Gianluigi Donnarumma","description":"If Gianluigi Donnarumma wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/011-italy_426777ee-e95e-4af0-9870-58676539a3a7.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T02:44:37.766983Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T16:04:39.626101Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284619","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-DIAZ","question":"Luis Diaz","group_item_title":"Luis Diaz","description":"If Luis Diaz wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/062-colombia-1_9f50b6c5-f655-4eb3-8ad8-71eb17426cc9.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T19:07:45.426167Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T11:48:15.103483Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284620","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-BELLINGHAM","question":"Jude Bellingham","group_item_title":"Jude Bellingham","description":"If Jude Bellingham wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/152-england_4d36bfb6-60b8-404b-9579-9d98b6d58b72.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T11:33:49.233937Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T20:18:36.544642Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284621","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-SALAH","question":"Mohamed Salah","group_item_title":"Mohamed Salah","description":"If Mohamed Salah wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/079-egypt_a6015681-d61d-472b-b33e-22faf3f15294.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T00:18:19.683331Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T00:17:53.401666Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284622","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-PEDRI","question":"Pedri","group_item_title":"Pedri","description":"If Pedri wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/044-spain_3348d5f9-faf1-4653-9ce2-53ab2a0285cf.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T12:14:50.897114Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T10:08:11.235673Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284623","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RASHFORD","question":"Marcus Rashford","group_item_title":"Marcus Rashford","description":"If Marcus Rashford wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/152-england_4d36bfb6-60b8-404b-9579-9d98b6d58b72.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.47,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T02:23:48.391822Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T17:44:48.366561Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284624","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-MENDES","question":"Nuno Mendes","group_item_title":"Nuno Mendes","description":"If Nuno Mendes wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/174-portugal_60494d6d-bb61-49dc-a913-b76038b954f4.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T00:18:19.683331Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T00:17:53.401666Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284625","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-LAUTARO","question":"Lautaro Martinez","group_item_title":"Lautaro Martinez","description":"If Lautaro Martinez wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/064-argentina_26dc502a-1b29-4ede-a496-501fc96276ff.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T02:44:37.766983Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T16:04:39.626101Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284627","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-CHERKI","question":"Rayan Cherki","group_item_title":"Rayan Cherki","description":"If Rayan Cherki wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/077-france_40b7925d-4d4c-4766-8d64-c4bd1e2de727.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T19:07:45.426167Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T11:48:15.103483Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284628","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-RAPHINHA","question":"Raphinha","group_item_title":"Raphinha","description":"If Raphinha wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/250-brazil_9d594217-bf88-454f-aea7-467832c5d811.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T12:14:50.897114Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T19:30:18.199404Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284629","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-MCTOMINAY","question":"Scott McTominay","group_item_title":"Scott McTominay","description":"If Scott McTominay wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/036-scotland_5eceb23e-78fa-4cdb-9aa4-22c44490aa05.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T00:18:19.683331Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T00:17:53.401666Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284630","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-FODEN","question":"Phil Foden","group_item_title":"Phil Foden","description":"If Phil Foden wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/152-england_4d36bfb6-60b8-404b-9579-9d98b6d58b72.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T02:44:37.766983Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T16:04:39.626101Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"95357-284631","event_id":"95357","slug":"GEMI-BALLONDOR26-REIJNDERS","question":"Tijjani Reijnders","group_item_title":"Tijjani Reijnders","description":"If Tijjani Reijnders wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/195-netherlands_ea538fab-7eed-4b77-abc9-52ff54f12cba.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T04:07:13.887610Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T02:58:21.089494Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T19:04:45.611237Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BALLONDOR26/who-will-win-the-ballon-dor-this-year","event_title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/95357","as_of":"2026-08-09T10:19:51.411730Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?\" — top market at 59% probability across 31 outcomes","source_url":null}}