{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/96754","as_of":"2026-11-05T07:02:17.787155Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Alaska Governor Winner\" — \"Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins\" leads at 90% across 7 outcomes as of 2026-11-02 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/96754","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26AK/alaska-governor-winner"},"source":"gemini","id":"96754","ticker":"GOV26AK","slug":"alaska-governor-winner","title":"Alaska Governor Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Alaska_9d0b9c83-cfbd-4942-a480-97ebe3bbc8e6.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-18T14:57:49.438000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12366.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.33978307247161865,"normalized_volume":47.50862503051758,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Governor"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-02T05:30:50.584420Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T05:30:50.584420Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.379945Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26AK/alaska-governor-winner","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"96754-320810","event_id":"96754","slug":"GEMI-GOV26AK-KREISSTOMKINS","question":"Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins","group_item_title":"Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins","description":"If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Alaska gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.15],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T05:30:50.607735Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T05:30:50.607735Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T14:46:13.608216Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26AK/alaska-governor-winner","event_title":"Alaska Governor Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"96754-320808","event_id":"96754","slug":"GEMI-GOV26AK-BERNADETTEWILSON","question":"Bernadette Wilson","group_item_title":"Bernadette Wilson","description":"If Bernadette Wilson wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Alaska gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.9],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T05:30:50.607735Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T05:30:50.607735Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T14:46:13.608216Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26AK/alaska-governor-winner","event_title":"Alaska Governor Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"96754-320809","event_id":"96754","slug":"GEMI-GOV26AK-DAVIDBRONSON","question":"David Bronson","group_item_title":"David Bronson","description":"If David Bronson wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Alaska gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T23:30:25.330738Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T23:30:25.330738Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T14:46:13.608216Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26AK/alaska-governor-winner","event_title":"Alaska Governor Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"96754-674866","event_id":"96754","slug":"GEMI-GOV26AK-TREGTAYLOR","question":"Treg Taylor","group_item_title":"Treg Taylor","description":"If Treg Taylor wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Tennessee gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T23:30:25.330738Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T23:30:25.330738Z","added_at":"2026-09-27T09:22:36.844163Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26AK/alaska-governor-winner","event_title":"Alaska Governor Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"96754-286944","event_id":"96754","slug":"GEMI-GOV26AK-MARYPELTOLA","question":"Mary Peltola","group_item_title":"Mary Peltola","description":"If Mary Peltola wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Alaska gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-22T16:31:23.204000Z","result":"no","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T16:40:34.814286Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T16:40:34.814286Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26AK/alaska-governor-winner","event_title":"Alaska Governor Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"96754-286945","event_id":"96754","slug":"GEMI-GOV26AK-NANCYDAHLSTROM","question":"Nancy Dahlstrom","group_item_title":"Nancy Dahlstrom","description":"If Nancy Dahlstrom wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Alaska gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-30T14:40:47.972000Z","result":"no","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:50:16.021957Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T14:46:13.608216Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26AK/alaska-governor-winner","event_title":"Alaska Governor Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"96754-286947","event_id":"96754","slug":"GEMI-GOV26AK-NICKBEGICH","question":"Nick Begich","group_item_title":"Nick Begich","description":"If Nick Begich wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Alaska gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.63,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-22T16:31:22.427000Z","result":"no","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T16:40:34.814286Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T16:40:34.814286Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26AK/alaska-governor-winner","event_title":"Alaska Governor Winner","chart_24h":null}]}