{"source":"gemini","id":"96785","ticker":"GOV26WI","slug":"wisconsin-governor-winner","title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Wisconsin_2ac30216-58a2-4237-a16b-67585dca32dd.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-18T14:57:53.417000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3937.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.60998821258545,"normalized_volume":42.58721923828125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Governor"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Tom Tiffany","top_outcome_probability":0.58,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-05T16:12:10.146079Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T16:12:10.146079Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.379945Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,100.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-287058","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-TOMTIFFANY","question":"Tom Tiffany","group_item_title":"Tom Tiffany","description":"If Tom Tiffany wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.47],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T16:32:50.408940Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T16:32:41.745729Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":[0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58]},{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-338091","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-FRANCESCAHONG","question":"Francesca Hong","group_item_title":"Francesca Hong","description":"If Francesca Hong wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.59],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T16:12:18.452141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T16:12:10.633228Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T19:32:13.238227Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":[0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-287057","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-SARARODRIGUEZ","question":"Sara Rodriguez","group_item_title":"Sara Rodriguez","description":"If Sara Rodriguez wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.99],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T22:33:20.068334Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T21:31:10.127377Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-287062","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-KELDAROYS","question":"Kelda Roys","group_item_title":"Kelda Roys","description":"If Kelda Roys wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.99],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T22:33:20.068334Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T21:31:10.127377Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-338086","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-JOELBRENNAN","question":"Joel Brennan","group_item_title":"Joel Brennan","description":"If Joel Brennan wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.99],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T22:33:20.068334Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T21:31:10.127377Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T19:32:13.238227Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-338090","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-ANDREWMANSKE","question":"Andrew Manske","group_item_title":"Andrew Manske","description":"If Andrew Manske wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.99],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T21:51:46.253545Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T21:10:27.345000Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T19:32:13.238227Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-287060","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-DAVIDCROWLEY","question":"David Crowley","group_item_title":"David Crowley","description":"If David Crowley wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.96],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.049999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T17:34:26.088077Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T17:13:48.689932Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-287053","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-MANDELABARNES","question":"Mandela Barnes","group_item_title":"Mandela Barnes","description":"If Mandela Barnes wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T22:33:20.068334Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T21:10:27.345000Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-287055","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-BILLBERRIEN","question":"Bill Berrien","group_item_title":"Bill Berrien","description":"If Bill Berrien wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:19:29.239000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T19:28:55.623716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T19:32:13.238227Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"96785-287056","event_id":"96785","slug":"GEMI-GOV26WI-JOSHKAUL","question":"Josh Kaul","group_item_title":"Josh Kaul","description":"If Josh Kaul wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:19:28.873000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T19:28:55.623716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T19:32:13.238227Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T15:09:11.505579Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/GOV26WI/wisconsin-governor-winner","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/96785","as_of":"2026-08-05T17:59:33.354843Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Wisconsin Governor Winner\" — top market at 58% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}