{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","ticker":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07","title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4790.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.908483505249023,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4568.04,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democratic by 61 to 90","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T03:41:48.731676Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T03:41:48.731676Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.781154Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM61T90","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM61T90","question":"Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Democratic by 61 to 90","description":"If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":377.78,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.803837776184082,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:28:43.962251Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T04:09:16.248676Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM11T30","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM11T30","question":"Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Democratic by 11 to 30","description":"If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":445.95,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.414541244506836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:56:11.256050Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T04:09:16.248676Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10","question":"Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Democratic by 1 to 10","description":"If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":636.98,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.78462028503418,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:46:41.403595Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T03:41:48.925430Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP31T60","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP31T60","question":"Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Republican by 31 to 60","description":"If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":11.74,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.9849042892456055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T00:50:48.569845Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP211T538","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP211T538","question":"Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Republican by 211 or more","description":"If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":1648.42,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.821836471557617,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:53:06.955525Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T13:31:08.608547Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP1T10","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP1T10","question":"Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Republican by 1 to 10","description":"If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":18.75,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.727731704711914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T00:50:48.569845Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM211T538","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM211T538","question":"Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Democratic by 211 or more","description":"If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":1650.4,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.82728385925293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:48:08.513404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T03:39:23.407550Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM131T210","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM131T210","question":"Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Democratic by 131 to 210","description":"If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:11:16.425944Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T21:00:06.799118Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM31T60","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM31T60","question":"Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Democratic by 31 to 60","description":"If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:48:08.513404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T03:39:23.407550Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM91T130","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM91T130","question":"Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Democratic by 91 to 130","description":"If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:48:08.513404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T03:39:23.407550Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP11T30","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP11T30","question":"Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Republican by 11 to 30","description":"If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T05:44:55.406677Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP131T210","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP131T210","question":"Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Republican by 131 to 210","description":"If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:57.634629Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T16:05:08.890335Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP61T90","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP61T90","question":"Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Republican by 61 to 90","description":"If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:57.634629Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T16:05:08.890335Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP91T130","event_id":"ECMOV-28NOV07","slug":"ECMOV-28NOV07-REP91T130","question":"Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?","group_item_title":"Republican by 91 to 130","description":"If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:48:08.513404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T03:39:23.407550Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T14:04:33.900113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/ecmov/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory/ecmov-28nov07","event_title":"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/ECMOV-28NOV07","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:23:19.935940Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2028 Electoral College margin of victory?\" — top market at 13% probability across 14 outcomes","source_url":null}}