{"source":"kalshi","id":"HOUSECA45-26","ticker":"HOUSECA45-26","slug":"HOUSECA45-26","title":"CA-45 House winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41562.8,"volume_24hr":27.3,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.693934917449951,"normalized_volume":30.757471084594727,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":29604.51,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Derek Tran","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-398.16,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T01:32:49.647698Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T01:32:49.647698Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/houseca45/ca-45-house-winner/houseca45-26","chart_24h":[1575.6100000000001,1183.13,398.16,0.0,27.3],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"HOUSECA45-26-R","event_id":"HOUSECA45-26","slug":"HOUSECA45-26-R","question":"Will Republican win the House race for CA-45?","group_item_title":"Chuong Vo","description":"If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":30715.69,"volume_24hr":27.3,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":-757.6700000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.893510580062866,"normalized_volume":33.23497772216797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T01:32:50.045964Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T01:32:50.045964Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/houseca45/ca-45-house-winner/houseca45-26","event_title":"CA-45 House winner?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"HOUSECA45-26-D","event_id":"HOUSECA45-26","slug":"HOUSECA45-26-D","question":"Will Democratic win the House race for CA-45?","group_item_title":"Derek Tran","description":"If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":10847.11,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-398.16,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.876583099365234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:51:17.158413Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:51:17.158413Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/houseca45/ca-45-house-winner/houseca45-26","event_title":"CA-45 House winner?","chart_24h":[0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/HOUSECA45-26","as_of":"2026-09-09T02:23:40.922820Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"CA-45 House winner?\" — top market at 9% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}