{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","ticker":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2661.39,"volume_24hr":17.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.9195494651794434,"normalized_volume":13.899767875671387,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1410.78,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above .7%","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.21000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:38:38.232293Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T09:38:38.232293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","chart_24h":[0.0,12.0,17.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.7","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.7","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .7% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above .7%","description":"If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .7%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","volume":22.27,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.5139102935791016,"normalized_volume":2.5776524543762207,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:38:38.374957Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T09:38:38.374957Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:19:03.501690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.8","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.8","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year 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day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.13999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","volume":7.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2267374992370605,"normalized_volume":1.1253271102905273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:40:53.164869Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T09:38:38.374957Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:19:03.501690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.9","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.9","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 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day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.10999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","volume":2629.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.13848304748535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:38:38.374957Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T09:38:38.374957Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-07-25T18:30:57.951080Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026\" — top market at 65% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}