{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","ticker":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1938.68,"volume_24hr":13.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.578474760055542,"normalized_volume":15.088760375976562,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":920.91,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 1.00%","top_outcome_probability":0.09,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T17:49:12.174046Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T17:49:12.174046Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T1.00","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T1.00","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.00%","description":"If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","volume":1938.68,"volume_24hr":13.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.7481791973114014,"normalized_volume":17.566051483154297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:33:49.278586Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:51:19.585406Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:01:39.770683Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026\" — top market at 9% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}