{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","ticker":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3895.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.589139938354492,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1817.3799999999999,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above .7%","top_outcome_probability":0.38,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T02:03:09.799598Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T02:03:09.799598Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.7","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.7","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .7% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above .7%","description":"If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .7%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","volume":731.34,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.54481029510498,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:51:19.405860Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:51:19.405860Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:19:03.501690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.8","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.8","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .8% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above .8%","description":"If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.19000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","volume":92.67,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.415767192840576,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T09:14:12.300577Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T09:14:12.300577Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:19:03.501690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T1.00","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T1.00","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.00%","description":"If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","volume":2684.93,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.40750503540039,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:51:19.405860Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:51:19.405860Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.9","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.9","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .9% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above .9%","description":"If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .9%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","volume":386.52,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.057018280029297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T09:14:12.300577Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T09:14:12.300577Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:19:03.501690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-09-09T04:06:23.593331Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026\" — top market at 38% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}