{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-10-24T11:15:21.931839Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026\" — 4 markets; highest \"Above .7%\" at 14% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","ticker":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 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not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2344.84,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.1509580612182617,"normalized_volume":18.747676849365234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T11:09:54.507772Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T11:09:54.507772Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:19:03.501690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.9","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.9","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .9% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above .9%","description":"If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .9%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1684.52,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.184507369995117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T14:57:06.269425Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T14:57:06.269425Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:19:03.501690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T1.00","event_id":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T1.00","question":"Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.00%","description":"If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":3109.93,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.13634490966797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United 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day.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-14T08:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T21:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2346.67,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.751445770263672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T09:04:11.898298Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T09:04:11.898298Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:19:03.501690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2y/treasury-spread-10y-2y-by-dec-31-2026/kx10y2y-26dec31","event_title":"Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]}]}