{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","ticker":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4975.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.747133255004883,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3052.11,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above -20bps","top_outcome_probability":0.96,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-31T20:03:19.582440Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T20:03:19.582440Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.175274Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-20","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-20","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -20bps?","group_item_title":"Above -20bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above -20bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":266.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.718226432800293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T11:04:52.810510Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T11:04:52.810510Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-10","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-10","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -10bps?","group_item_title":"Above -10bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above -10bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.18999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":76.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.873813152313232,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T22:49:39.543213Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T22:49:39.543213Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-30","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-30","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -30bps?","group_item_title":"Above -30bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above -30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":316.34,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.328099250793457,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T11:04:52.810510Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T11:04:52.810510Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T0","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T0","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 0bps?","group_item_title":"Above 0bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 0bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.18999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":224.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.13172435760498,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:36:00.052114Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:36:00.052114Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T30","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T30","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 30bps?","group_item_title":"Above 30bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.17999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":600.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.748835563659668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T01:15:12.035785Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T01:15:12.035785Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T10","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T10","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 10bps?","group_item_title":"Above 10bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 10bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":212.07,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.948939323425293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T20:38:13.353336Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T20:38:13.353336Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T40","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T40","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 40bps?","group_item_title":"Above 40bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 40bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.15999999999999992,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1880.37,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.696765899658203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:36:00.052114Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:36:00.052114Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T20","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T20","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 20bps?","group_item_title":"Above 20bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 20bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":257.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.599053382873535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T01:58:33.952591Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T01:58:33.952591Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T70","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T70","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 70bps?","group_item_title":"Above 70bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 70bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":618.06,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.863478660583496,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:36:00.052114Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:36:00.052114Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T50","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T50","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 50bps?","group_item_title":"Above 50bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 50bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":348.88,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.681134223937988,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T20:38:13.353336Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T20:38:13.353336Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T60","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T60","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 60bps?","group_item_title":"Above 60bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 60bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.16999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":176.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.351245880126953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:36:00.052114Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:36:00.052114Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-09-02T02:01:57.022197Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026\" — top market at 96% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}