{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","ticker":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":357.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.358684539794922,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":267.99,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above -30bps","top_outcome_probability":0.95,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T09:19:08.565125Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T09:19:08.565125Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.175274Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-30","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-30","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -30bps?","group_item_title":"Above -30bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above -30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":26.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.046562910079956,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T09:46:26.828462Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T13:23:40.835813Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.95,0.95]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-20","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-20","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -20bps?","group_item_title":"Above -20bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above -20bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":36.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.6574547290802,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T09:46:26.828462Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T13:23:40.835813Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.94,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T0","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T0","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 0bps?","group_item_title":"Above 0bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 0bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":69.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.062313079833984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:03:31.940417Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T03:53:55.084619Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T20","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T20","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 20bps?","group_item_title":"Above 20bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 20bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.31999999999999995],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":46.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.1575117111206055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T13:08:56.813981Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T13:23:40.835813Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.68,0.68,0.68]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-10","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-10","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -10bps?","group_item_title":"Above -10bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above -10bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":51.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.378711700439453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T03:39:44.002276Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T03:53:55.084619Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T40","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T40","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 40bps?","group_item_title":"Above 40bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 40bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":65.52,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-3.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.941521167755127,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T09:46:26.828462Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T09:19:09.837716Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T30","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T30","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 30bps?","group_item_title":"Above 30bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":4.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.7282907366752625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:23.912315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T02:34:16.832737Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T50","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T50","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 50bps?","group_item_title":"Above 50bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 50bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":15.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.1569762229919434,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:03:31.940417Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T03:27:10.539567Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T10","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T10","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 10bps?","group_item_title":"Above 10bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 10bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6.08,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.0744394063949585,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:03:31.940417Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T03:27:10.539567Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T60","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T60","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 60bps?","group_item_title":"Above 60bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 60bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":22.41,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-7.89,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.788506269454956,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T09:20:26.316942Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T09:19:09.837716Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T70","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T70","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 70bps?","group_item_title":"Above 70bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 70bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":16.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.2513203620910645,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T06:53:19.711802Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T10:06:42.391338Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-07-11T03:18:58.014651Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026\" — top market at 95% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}