{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-10-24T12:20:03.001000Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026\" — 11 markets; highest \"Above -20bps\" at 96% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","ticker":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8592.55,"volume_24hr":380.23,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.796971321105957,"normalized_volume":21.980745315551758,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3416.89,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above -20bps","top_outcome_probability":0.96,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:01:45.568964Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:01:45.568964Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.175274Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","chart_24h":[265.34000000000003,645.57,380.23],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":11,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T30","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T30","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 30bps?","group_item_title":"Above 30bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1518.08,"volume_24hr":1.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-87.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.36079782247543335,"normalized_volume":16.70693016052246,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:15.060252Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:15.060252Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T70","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T70","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 70bps?","group_item_title":"Above 70bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 70bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2152.28,"volume_24hr":378.56,"prob_24h_change":-0.18000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":378.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.19471549987793,"normalized_volume":18.33612632751465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:35:35.858689Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:35:35.858689Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-20","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-20","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -20bps?","group_item_title":"Above -20bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above -20bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":266.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.718226432800293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T00:11:22.981124Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T00:11:22.981124Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.96,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-10","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-10","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -10bps?","group_item_title":"Above -10bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above -10bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":76.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.873813152313232,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T14:56:34.613774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T14:56:34.613774Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T0","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T0","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 0bps?","group_item_title":"Above 0bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 0bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":224.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.13172435760498,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:16:51.162784Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:16:51.162784Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-30","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-30","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -30bps?","group_item_title":"Above -30bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above -30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":326.34,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.439661979675293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T00:11:22.981124Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T00:11:22.981124Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T10","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T10","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 10bps?","group_item_title":"Above 10bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 10bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":226.64,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.171102523803711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:16:51.162784Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:16:51.162784Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T20","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T20","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 20bps?","group_item_title":"Above 20bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 20bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":475.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.833501815795898,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:15.060252Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:15.060252Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T40","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T40","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 40bps?","group_item_title":"Above 40bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 40bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2240.27,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.527997970581055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:31:40.727960Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:31:40.727960Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T50","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T50","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 50bps?","group_item_title":"Above 50bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 50bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":743.98,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-176.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.615179061889648,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:15.060252Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:15.060252Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T60","event_id":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31","slug":"KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T60","question":"Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 60bps?","group_item_title":"Above 60bps","description":"If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity  for December 31, 2026 is above 60bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":343.91,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.629021644592285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:15.060252Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:15.060252Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:06.307400Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10y2ydate/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026/kx10y2ydate-26dec31","event_title":"10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]}]}