{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10YR550PCT-31OCT26","as_of":"2026-10-09T00:11:53.084789Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?\" — 11% as of 2026-10-08 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10YR550PCT-31OCT26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yr550pct/will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-hit-550-by-oct-31-2026/kx10yr550pct-31oct26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YR550PCT-31OCT26","ticker":"KX10YR550PCT-31OCT26","slug":"KX10YR550PCT-31OCT26","title":"Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4904.65,"volume_24hr":4904.65,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.444276809692383,"normalized_volume":19.449792861938477,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2376.02,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"5.50% or higher","top_outcome_probability":0.11,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.26,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4604.65,"updated_at":"2026-10-08T23:38:55.294276Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T23:38:55.294276Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T14:00:57.313904Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yr550pct/will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-hit-550-by-oct-31-2026/kx10yr550pct-31oct26","chart_24h":[300.0,401.0,401.0,901.0,913.0,1514.0,2114.0,2834.0,3209.0,3339.0,4338.45,4904.65],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YR550PCT-31OCT26-T5.50","event_id":"KX10YR550PCT-31OCT26","slug":"KX10YR550PCT-31OCT26-T5.50","question":"Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.50% or higher","description":"If the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year generic constant-maturity tenor is at least 5.50% on any business day from October 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT through October 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM EDT, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market uses the 10-year generic constant-maturity Treasury tenor and the U.S. Department of the Treasury Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate. The observation period is from October 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT through October 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM EDT, inclusive. A published rate of 5.50% or higher for any business day in that period satisfies the threshold; intraday values are not considered. Rates are expressed to two decimal places. Revisions after expiration are not considered. Treasury does not publish on weekends or federal holidays; the contract's preceding-business-day provision applies. If the payout condition occurs, expiration may move earlier under Rule 7.2. Otherwise, expiration is 10:00 AM ET one week after the final day of the observation period. Settlement is no later than the following day, subject to Rule 7.1.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.12000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-01T03:59:59Z","result":null,"volume":4904.65,"volume_24hr":4904.65,"prob_24h_change":-0.26,"volume_24h_change":4604.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.65896987915039,"normalized_volume":22.481611251831055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T23:53:10.204007Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T23:53:10.204007Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T14:00:57.536812Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yr550pct/will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-hit-550-by-oct-31-2026/kx10yr550pct-31oct26","event_title":"Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11]}]}