{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","ticker":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2471.6,"volume_24hr":2471.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.356239318847656,"normalized_volume":16.4686222076416,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2470.5,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"5.31% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.81,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.81,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":600.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T18:54:13.720044Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T18:54:13.720044Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.403625Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","chart_24h":[0.0,20.5,21.6,221.6,321.6,2371.6,2471.6],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.30","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.30","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.31% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.18999999999999995],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.5599999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":600.0,"volume_24hr":600.0,"prob_24h_change":0.81,"volume_24h_change":600.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.169572830200195,"normalized_volume":12.745257377624512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.81,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.32","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.32","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.33% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.32% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.44999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":250.0,"volume_24hr":250.0,"prob_24h_change":0.8,"volume_24h_change":250.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.057716369628906,"normalized_volume":9.504191398620605,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.8,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.29","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.29","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.3% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.20999999999999996],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":301.1,"volume_24hr":301.1,"prob_24h_change":0.79,"volume_24h_change":301.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.88002872467041,"normalized_volume":10.152358055114746,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.31","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.31","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.32% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.31% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.10999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":250.0,"volume_24hr":250.0,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":250.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.057716369628906,"normalized_volume":9.504191398620605,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.78,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.34","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.34","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.35% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.34% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.16999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":400.0,"volume_24hr":400.0,"prob_24h_change":0.7,"volume_24h_change":400.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.189176559448242,"normalized_volume":11.184260368347168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.35","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.35","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.36% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.35% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.69,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.107658386230469,"normalized_volume":8.755331039428711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.37","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.37","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.38% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.37% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":90.0,"volume_24hr":90.0,"prob_24h_change":0.63,"volume_24h_change":90.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.036148071289062,"normalized_volume":6.334290504455566,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.36","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.36","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.37% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.36% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.10999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":0.62,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.674175262451172,"normalized_volume":5.2607502937316895,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.40","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.40","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.41% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.40% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.12999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.107658386230469,"normalized_volume":8.755331039428711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.39","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.39","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.4% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.39% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.57,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.54,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.411925315856934,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.41","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.41","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.42% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.41% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.5199999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":10.25,"volume_24hr":10.25,"prob_24h_change":0.53,"volume_24h_change":10.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3136208057403564,"normalized_volume":1.8236531019210815,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.44","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.44","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.44% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.45% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.44% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.16000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":10.25,"volume_24hr":10.25,"prob_24h_change":0.47,"volume_24h_change":10.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3136208057403564,"normalized_volume":1.8236531019210815,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.33","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.33","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.34% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.33% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.38","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.38","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.39% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.42","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.42","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.42% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.43% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.42% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.43","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.43","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.44% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.43% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.45","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.45","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.46% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.45% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.46","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.46","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.46% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.47% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.46% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.16999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.47","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.47","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.48% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.47% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.17000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.48","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.48","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.48% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.49% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.48% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.16999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.49","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.49","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.5% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.49% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.50","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.50","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.50% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.51% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.50% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.51","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.51","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.52% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.51% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.22000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.52","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.52","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.52% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.53% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.52% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.53","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.53","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.53% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.54% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.53% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.54","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.54","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.54% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.55% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.54% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.12999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.55","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.55","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.55% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.56% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.55% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.18000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.56","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.56","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.56% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.57% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.56% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.57","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.57","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.57% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.58% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.57% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.58","event_id":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","slug":"KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T5.58","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.58% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.59% or above","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.58% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:51:54.622286Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirhm/how-high-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirhm-26oct30h","event_title":"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10YRDIRHM-26OCT30H","as_of":"2026-10-01T21:59:15.185960Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?\" — top market at 81% probability across 30 outcomes","source_url":null}}