{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","ticker":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6199.6,"volume_24hr":6199.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.28925323486328,"normalized_volume":20.57245635986328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6041.6,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"5.28% or below","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":742.6,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.468034Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.468034Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.403625Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","chart_24h":[0.0,1490.6,2534.6,3542.6,3542.6],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.29","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.29","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.29% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.28% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.29% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":3399.6,"volume_24hr":3399.6,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":742.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.98785972595215,"normalized_volume":20.584619522094727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.26","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.26","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.26% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.25% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.26% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":1038.0,"volume_24hr":1038.0,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":1038.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.75035858154297,"normalized_volume":15.01933479309082,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T17:54:24.779156Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T17:54:24.779156Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.27","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.27","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.27% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.26% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.27% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":431.0,"volume_24hr":431.0,"prob_24h_change":0.95,"volume_24h_change":431.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.311670303344727,"normalized_volume":11.463874816894531,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T17:39:59.446234Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T17:39:59.446234Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.79,0.95,0.95]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.28","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.28","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.28% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.27% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.28% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":531.0,"volume_24hr":531.0,"prob_24h_change":0.92,"volume_24h_change":531.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.31063461303711,"normalized_volume":12.264060974121094,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T18:54:13.875798Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T18:54:13.875798Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.23","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.23","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.23% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.22% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.23% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.18999999999999995],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":170.0,"volume_24hr":170.0,"prob_24h_change":0.81,"volume_24h_change":170.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.274142265319824,"normalized_volume":8.229750633239746,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.24","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.24","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.24% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.23% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.24% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.20999999999999996],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.029999999999999916,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.79,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.93028450012207,"normalized_volume":8.755331039428711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.66,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.19","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.19","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.19% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.18% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.19% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.62,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.27759838104248,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.20","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.20","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.20% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.19% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.20% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":330.0,"volume_24hr":330.0,"prob_24h_change":0.6,"volume_24h_change":330.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.083123207092285,"normalized_volume":10.479789733886719,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T18:54:13.875798Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T18:54:13.875798Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.00","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.00","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.00% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.99% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.00% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.01","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.01","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.01% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.01% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.02","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.02","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.02% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.01% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.02% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.03","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.03","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.03% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.02% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.03% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.04","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.04","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.04% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.03% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.04% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.05","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.05","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.05% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.04% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.05% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.06","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.06","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.06% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.05% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.06% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.07","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.07","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.07% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.06% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.07% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.08","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.08","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.08% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.07% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.08% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.09","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.09","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.09% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.08% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.09% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.10","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.10","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.10% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.09% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.10% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.11","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.11","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.11% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.1% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.11% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.12","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.12","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.12% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.11% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.12% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.13","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.13","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.13% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.12% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.13% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.14","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.14","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.14% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.13% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.14% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.15","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.15","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.15% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.14% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.15% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.16","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.16","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.16% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.15% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.16% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.17","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.17","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.17% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.16% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.17% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.18","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.18","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.18% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.17% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.18% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.21","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.21","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.21% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.2% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.21% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.22","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.22","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.22% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.21% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.22% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019999999999999907,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:56.691645Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.25","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T5.25","question":"Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.25% by Oct 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.24% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.25% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T18:39:33.795289Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:21.704748Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlm/how-low-will-the-10-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-30-2026/kx10yrdirlm-26oct30l","event_title":"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10YRDIRLM-26OCT30L","as_of":"2026-10-01T19:10:45.262935Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 30 outcomes","source_url":null}}