{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","as_of":"2026-10-13T22:11:58.346540Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?\" — 20 markets; highest \"5.03% or below\" at 99% as of 2026-10-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","ticker":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5954.26,"volume_24hr":5604.26,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.860395431518555,"normalized_volume":20.315101623535156,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":453.9,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"5.03% or below","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.98,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":146.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.208342Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.208342Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.858603Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","chart_24h":[0.0,146.0,317.0,326.0,327.0,329.0,368.0,731.0,1231.8,2180.0,2730.5,3372.65,4505.1,5115.82,5604.26],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":20,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.04","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.04","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.04% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.03% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.04% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":205.7,"volume_24hr":146.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":146.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.901247501373291,"normalized_volume":8.847906112670898,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.06","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.06","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.06% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.05% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.06% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":643.04,"volume_24hr":532.04,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":532.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.50674819946289,"normalized_volume":13.022287368774414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.97,0.05,0.05,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.09","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.09","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.09% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.08% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.09% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":43.0,"volume_24hr":43.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":42.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.543233394622803,"normalized_volume":4.4578471183776855,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T17:45:29.121080Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T17:45:29.121080Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.11","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.11","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.11% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.1% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.11% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":521.1,"volume_24hr":521.1,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":518.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.42426872253418,"normalized_volume":12.190764427185059,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:16:13.398247Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:16:13.398247Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.98,0.98,0.01,0.01,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.19","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.19","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.19% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.18% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.19% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.9299999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":365.6,"volume_24hr":365.6,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":244.00000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.059917449951172,"normalized_volume":10.852055549621582,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.96,0.03,0.03,0.99,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.12","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.12","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.12% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.11% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.12% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":127.6,"volume_24hr":127.6,"prob_24h_change":0.96,"volume_24h_change":121.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.483470439910889,"normalized_volume":7.342824459075928,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.05","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.05","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.05% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.04% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.05% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":353.6,"volume_24hr":230.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":110.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.397298812866211,"normalized_volume":10.730059623718262,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.09,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.23","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.23","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.23% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.22% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.23% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":165.0,"volume_24hr":165.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":58.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.290846824645996,"normalized_volume":8.135026931762695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.09,0.09,0.95]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.18","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.18","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.18% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.17% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.18% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":529.8,"volume_24hr":474.1,"prob_24h_change":-0.039999999999999925,"volume_24h_change":352.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.05251407623291,"normalized_volume":12.25523853302002,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.96,0.09,0.99,0.95,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.21","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.21","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.21% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.2% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.21% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":116.0,"volume_24hr":116.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.6499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":59.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.194983005523682,"normalized_volume":7.059759140014648,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.09,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.13","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.13","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.13% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.12% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.13% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":713.1,"volume_24hr":713.1,"prob_24h_change":-0.82,"volume_24h_change":455.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.698885917663574,"normalized_volume":13.441426277160645,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.91,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.07","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.07","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.07% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.06% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.07% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":230.0,"volume_24hr":230.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":230.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.397298812866211,"normalized_volume":9.220684051513672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T20:31:25.797337Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T20:31:25.797337Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.14","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.14","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.14% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.13% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.14% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":122.6,"volume_24hr":122.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.88,"volume_24h_change":122.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.36176061630249,"normalized_volume":7.22340202331543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T19:32:28.809193Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T19:32:28.809193Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.15","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.15","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.15% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.14% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.15% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":122.6,"volume_24hr":122.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.88,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.36176061630249,"normalized_volume":7.22340202331543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:30:46.469130Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:30:46.469130Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.20","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.20","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.20% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.19% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.20% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":113.0,"volume_24hr":113.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.9,"volume_24h_change":113.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.116706371307373,"normalized_volume":6.982954025268555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T20:31:25.797337Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T20:31:25.797337Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.10","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.10","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.10% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.09% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.10% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":365.4,"volume_24hr":365.4,"prob_24h_change":-0.9099999999999999,"volume_24h_change":243.39999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.057872772216797,"normalized_volume":10.850049018859863,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T20:31:25.797337Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T20:31:25.797337Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.95,0.95,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.16","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.16","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.16% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.15% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.16% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":640.42,"volume_24hr":640.42,"prob_24h_change":-0.9299999999999999,"volume_24h_change":518.8199999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.254995346069336,"normalized_volume":13.005878448486328,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.96,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.08","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.08","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.08% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.07% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.08% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":283.1,"volume_24hr":283.1,"prob_24h_change":-0.96,"volume_24h_change":161.50000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.125409126281738,"normalized_volume":9.935110092163086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:01:14.462747Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:01:14.462747Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.09,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.17","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.17","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.17% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.16% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.17% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":252.6,"volume_24hr":252.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.97,"volume_24h_change":131.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.722400665283203,"normalized_volume":9.53967571258545,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.98,0.99,0.99,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.22","event_id":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L","slug":"KX10YRDIRLW-26OCT16L-T5.22","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.22% by Oct 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.21% or below","description":"If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.22% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nThis market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.\nResolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.\nThe first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. \n\nExpiration\nIf the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.\nOtherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-16T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":41.0,"volume_24hr":41.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.98,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.432217597961426,"normalized_volume":4.3489179611206055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T21:59:32.301774Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:19:46.971295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx10yrdirlw/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026/kx10yrdirlw-26oct16l","event_title":"How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.01,0.01]}]}