{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","ticker":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 10bps","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.091569Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.091569Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.091569Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T10","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T10","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 10bps?","group_item_title":"At least 10bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 10bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T12","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T12","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 12bps?","group_item_title":"At least 12bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 12bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T15","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T15","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 15bps?","group_item_title":"At least 15bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 15bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T18","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T18","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 18bps?","group_item_title":"At least 18bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 18bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T20","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T20","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 20bps?","group_item_title":"At least 20bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 20bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T25","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T25","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 25bps?","group_item_title":"At least 25bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 25bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T30","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T30","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 30bps?","group_item_title":"At least 30bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T4","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T4","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 4bps?","group_item_title":"At least 4bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 4bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T08:16:40.290402Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T08:16:40.290402Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T6","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T6","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 6bps?","group_item_title":"At least 6bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 6bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T08:16:40.290402Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T08:16:40.290402Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T8","event_id":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KX2YFOMC-26JUL29-T8","question":"Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 8bps?","group_item_title":"At least 8bps","description":"If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 8bps, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100. For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T20:14:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T14:12:39.304081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yfomc/2-year-treasury-yield-move-on-july-fomc-day/kx2yfomc-26jul29","event_title":"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX2YFOMC-26JUL29","as_of":"2026-06-22T10:21:21.300246Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?\" — top market at 0% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}