{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","as_of":"2026-10-21T10:47:31.450518Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?\" — closed 2026-10-21; 11 of 17 markets resolved YES, including \"Above 4.68%\". https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","ticker":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","volume":9149.8,"volume_24hr":9149.8,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.13011932373047,"normalized_volume":22.3040714263916,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":9149.8,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.68%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.972774Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.972774Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:22.993453Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","chart_24h":[5000.0,9149.8],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":17,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T468","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T468","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.68%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.68% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":1002.0,"volume_24hr":1002.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.137470245361328,"normalized_volume":14.867222785949707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T469","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T469","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.69%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.69% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":1001.0,"volume_24hr":1001.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.132524490356445,"normalized_volume":14.862931251525879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T470","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T470","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.70%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.70% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":1001.0,"volume_24hr":1001.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":980.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.132524490356445,"normalized_volume":14.862931251525879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T471","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T471","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.71%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.71% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":1001.0,"volume_24hr":1001.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1001.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.132524490356445,"normalized_volume":14.862931251525879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T472","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T472","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.72%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.72% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":1001.0,"volume_24hr":1001.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":965.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.132524490356445,"normalized_volume":14.862931251525879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T473","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T473","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.73%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.73% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":1200.0,"volume_24hr":1200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.042644500732422,"normalized_volume":15.652485847473145,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T474","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T474","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.74%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.74% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":1000.0,"volume_24hr":1000.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.127573013305664,"normalized_volume":14.858635902404785,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T482","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T482","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.82%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.82% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"no","volume":943.8,"volume_24hr":943.8,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.84227752685547,"normalized_volume":14.61113452911377,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T484","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T484","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.84%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.84% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"no","volume":1000.0,"volume_24hr":1000.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.127573013305664,"normalized_volume":14.858635902404785,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T475","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T475","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.75%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.75% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T476","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T476","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.76%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.76% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T477","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T477","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.77%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.77% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T478","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T478","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.78%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.78% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"yes","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T479","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T479","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.79%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.79% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"no","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T480","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T480","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.80%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.80% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"no","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T481","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T481","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.81%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.81% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"no","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T483","event_id":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604","slug":"KX2YRRATEH-21OCT2604-T483","question":"Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 21 at 4:00am ET?","group_item_title":"Above 4.83%","description":"If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.83% at Oct 21, 2026 at 4:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSettlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.\n\nOther sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a \"No data\" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T07:59:00Z","result":"no","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:03:50.979863Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T07:11:23.119411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh/us-2y-treasury-yield-at-400am-et/kx2yrrateh-21oct2604","event_title":"US 2Y Treasury yield at 4:00am ET?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}]}