{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06","ticker":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06","slug":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06","title":"How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T18:50:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":150.6,"volume_24hr":65.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.958590030670166,"normalized_volume":6.823195934295654,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":150.6,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"40 or more","top_outcome_probability":0.6,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T12:28:20.230718Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T12:28:20.230718Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T18:59:23.268806Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafdsachsen/how-many-seats-will-afd-win-in-the-saxony-anhalt-state-election/kxafdsachsen-26sep06","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL42","event_id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06","slug":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL42","question":"Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) win at least 42 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election?","group_item_title":"42 or more","description":"If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 42 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T18:50:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","volume":65.6,"volume_24hr":65.6,"prob_24h_change":0.44,"volume_24h_change":65.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.4460296630859375,"normalized_volume":4.944351673126221,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T18:28:32.223185Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T18:28:32.223185Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T18:59:23.356594Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafdsachsen/how-many-seats-will-afd-win-in-the-saxony-anhalt-state-election/kxafdsachsen-26sep06","event_title":"How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL40","event_id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06","slug":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL40","question":"Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) win at least 40 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election?","group_item_title":"40 or more","description":"If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 40 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T18:50:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","volume":15.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.1560041904449463,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T23:58:40.637408Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T23:58:40.637408Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T18:59:23.356594Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafdsachsen/how-many-seats-will-afd-win-in-the-saxony-anhalt-state-election/kxafdsachsen-26sep06","event_title":"How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL44","event_id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06","slug":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL44","question":"Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) win at least 44 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election?","group_item_title":"44 or more","description":"If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 44 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T18:50:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.09617280960083,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T23:58:40.637408Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T23:58:40.637408Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T18:59:23.356594Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafdsachsen/how-many-seats-will-afd-win-in-the-saxony-anhalt-state-election/kxafdsachsen-26sep06","event_title":"How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL36","event_id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06","slug":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL36","question":"Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) win at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election?","group_item_title":"36 or more","description":"If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T18:50:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T05:29:44.434702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T04:15:17.673401Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T18:59:23.356594Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafdsachsen/how-many-seats-will-afd-win-in-the-saxony-anhalt-state-election/kxafdsachsen-26sep06","event_title":"How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL38","event_id":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06","slug":"KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL38","question":"Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) win at least 38 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election?","group_item_title":"38 or more","description":"If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 38 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T18:50:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-06T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T05:40:27.888889Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T05:40:27.888889Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T18:59:23.356594Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafdsachsen/how-many-seats-will-afd-win-in-the-saxony-anhalt-state-election/kxafdsachsen-26sep06","event_title":"How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06","as_of":"2026-07-13T06:05:57.601793Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?\" — top market at 44% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}