{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","ticker":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19511.61,"volume_24hr":3.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.7127094864845276,"normalized_volume":25.696142196655273,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":10993.79,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Bola Tinubu","top_outcome_probability":0.32,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:19:41.799242Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:19:41.799242Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-BT","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-BT","question":"Will Bola Tinubu leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"Bola Tinubu","description":"If the President of Nigeria is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1813.0,"volume_24hr":3.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.7576766610145569,"normalized_volume":17.256546020507812,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:35:43.532400Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:19:42.122498Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-EM","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-EM","question":"Will Emmerson Mnangagwa leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"Emmerson Mnangagwa","description":"If the President of Zimbabwe is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1830.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.29947853088379,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Zimbabwe"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:26:49.549368Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T13:05:45.321140Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-CR","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-CR","question":"Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"Cyril Ramaphosa","description":"If the President of South Africa is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.063,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":2102.43,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.944183349609375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:20:15.373568Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:20:15.373568Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-JM","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-JM","question":"Will John Mahama leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"John Mahama","description":"If the President of Ghana is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.087,0.913],"probability":0.087,"spread":0.05299999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":229.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.064451217651367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ghana"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:35:50.950936Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:19:42.122498Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.087,0.087]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-FT","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-FT","question":"Will Félix Tshisekedi leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"Félix Tshisekedi","description":"If the President of the DRC is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.074,0.926],"probability":0.074,"spread":0.063,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":7410.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.337509155273438,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Democratic Republic of the Congo"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T18:37:41.207890Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.074,0.074]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-AT","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-AT","question":"Will Abdelmadjid Tebboune leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"Abdelmadjid Tebboune","description":"If the President of Algeria is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":325.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.264599800109863,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Algeria"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:19:42.122498Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:19:42.122498Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-AFES","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-AFES","question":"Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"Abdel Fattah el-Sisi","description":"If the President of Egypt is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.067,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1056.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.86213207244873,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Egypt"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:25:28.348405Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T05:22:31.561758Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-WR","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-WR","question":"Will William Ruto leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"William Ruto","description":"If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1923.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.528404235839844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Kenya"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:31:51.393123Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-29T15:14:37.749566Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-TAS","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-TAS","question":"Will Taye Atske Selassie leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"Taye Atske Selassie","description":"If the President of Ethiopia is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.063,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1004.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.647087097167969,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ethiopia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:03:13.055662Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T05:59:47.092460Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.045,0.045]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-PK","event_id":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","slug":"KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-PK","question":"Will Paul Kagame leave office next in this set?","group_item_title":"Paul Kagame","description":"If the President of Rwanda is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.06899999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2035-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1819.06,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.27189064025879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Rwanda"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:39:04.472996Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T06:49:43.845835Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafricaleaderout/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/kxafricaleaderout-35","event_title":"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:34:48.653114Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which of these African leaders will leave office next?\" — top market at 32% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}