{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP","as_of":"2026-11-08T09:57:22.944167Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?\" — 3 markets; highest \"Before Jan 1, 2028\" at 49% as of 2026-10-26 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaidutyofcare/when-will-a-catastrophic-ai-duty-of-care-become-us-law/kxaidutyofcare-26sep"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP","ticker":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP","slug":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP","title":"When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2442.32,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.08539581298828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1378.11,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.49,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-26T04:01:43.630324Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-26T04:01:43.630324Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T00:26:04.678042Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaidutyofcare/when-will-a-catastrophic-ai-duty-of-care-become-us-law/kxaidutyofcare-26sep","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":3,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP-28JAN01","event_id":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP","slug":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP-28JAN01","question":"Will an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If federal legislation imposing an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA qualifying federal law must impose an enforceable standard requiring AI developers or deployers to take reasonable care, or equivalent precautions, to prevent or mitigate catastrophic harm from their models or systems. Catastrophic harm refers to large-scale harm such as mass casualties, major disruption of critical infrastructure, or comparably severe economic or environmental damage; the law need not use the exact phrase \"duty of care\".\n\nA law requiring only a framework, audit, report, or shutdown control does NOT count. A framework qualifies only when the law makes the adequacy of the developer's precautions against catastrophic harm an enforceable obligation. Government enforcement or civil liability may enforce the duty. A later effective date does not delay qualification.\n\nAn example of this is the catastrophic-risk duty-of-care proposal being negotiated by Senators John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":3.94,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.7158716917037964,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T23:33:25.654263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T23:33:25.654263Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T00:26:06.046841Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaidutyofcare/when-will-a-catastrophic-ai-duty-of-care-become-us-law/kxaidutyofcare-26sep","event_title":"When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP-27JUL01","event_id":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP","slug":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP-27JUL01","question":"Will an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care become U.S. law before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If federal legislation imposing an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA qualifying federal law must impose an enforceable standard requiring AI developers or deployers to take reasonable care, or equivalent precautions, to prevent or mitigate catastrophic harm from their models or systems. Catastrophic harm refers to large-scale harm such as mass casualties, major disruption of critical infrastructure, or comparably severe economic or environmental damage; the law need not use the exact phrase \"duty of care\".\n\nA law requiring only a framework, audit, report, or shutdown control does NOT count. A framework qualifies only when the law makes the adequacy of the developer's precautions against catastrophic harm an enforceable obligation. Government enforcement or civil liability may enforce the duty. A later effective date does not delay qualification.\n\nAn example of this is the catastrophic-risk duty-of-care proposal being negotiated by Senators John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":17.88,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.4219253063201904,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T23:33:25.654263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T23:33:25.654263Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T00:26:06.046841Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaidutyofcare/when-will-a-catastrophic-ai-duty-of-care-become-us-law/kxaidutyofcare-26sep","event_title":"When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP-27JAN01","event_id":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP","slug":"KXAIDUTYOFCARE-26SEP-27JAN01","question":"Will an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If federal legislation imposing an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA qualifying federal law must impose an enforceable standard requiring AI developers or deployers to take reasonable care, or equivalent precautions, to prevent or mitigate catastrophic harm from their models or systems. Catastrophic harm refers to large-scale harm such as mass casualties, major disruption of critical infrastructure, or comparably severe economic or environmental damage; the law need not use the exact phrase \"duty of care\".\n\nA law requiring only a framework, audit, report, or shutdown control does NOT count. A framework qualifies only when the law makes the adequacy of the developer's precautions against catastrophic harm an enforceable obligation. Government enforcement or civil liability may enforce the duty. A later effective date does not delay qualification.\n\nAn example of this is the catastrophic-risk duty-of-care proposal being negotiated by Senators John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2420.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.03493309020996,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T09:06:08.900658Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T09:06:08.900658Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T00:26:06.046841Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaidutyofcare/when-will-a-catastrophic-ai-duty-of-care-become-us-law/kxaidutyofcare-26sep","event_title":"When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?","chart_24h":null}]}