{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","ticker":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","slug":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","title":"How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17450.96,"volume_24hr":4239.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.07707405090332,"normalized_volume":24.76972198486328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8288.67,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 5","top_outcome_probability":0.55,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-27T03:32:27.416500Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T03:32:27.416500Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipacloseprimary/how-many-aipac-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxaipacloseprimary-26sep16","chart_24h":[0.0,4239.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T3","event_id":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","slug":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T3","question":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at least 3 between Apr 10, 2026 and Sep 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 3","description":"If the number of AIPAC-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined by inclusion on the AIPAC PAC featured candidates page (https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured/). A candidate counts as endorsed only if they are listed on the page AND the page allows donations to them through the AIPAC PAC at the time of the primary (e.g., candidates who are retiring, running for another office, deceased, or otherwise marked as non-donatable on the page — such as Cory Booker — are excluded). \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-27T03:47:13Z","volume":11282.0,"volume_24hr":4229.0,"prob_24h_change":0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":4228.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.267879486083984,"normalized_volume":28.25120735168457,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T04:24:49.714249Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T04:24:49.714249Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipacloseprimary/how-many-aipac-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxaipacloseprimary-26sep16","event_title":"How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":[0.88,0.88,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T5","event_id":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","slug":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T5","question":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at least 5 between Apr 10, 2026 and Sep 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 5","description":"If the number of AIPAC-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined by inclusion on the AIPAC PAC featured candidates page (https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured/). A candidate counts as endorsed only if they are listed on the page AND the page allows donations to them through the AIPAC PAC at the time of the primary (e.g., candidates who are retiring, running for another office, deceased, or otherwise marked as non-donatable on the page — such as Cory Booker — are excluded). \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-16T13:59:00Z","volume":2097.54,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.918884038925171,"normalized_volume":18.983869552612305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T07:48:47.820372Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T03:32:27.504832Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipacloseprimary/how-many-aipac-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxaipacloseprimary-26sep16","event_title":"How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T1","event_id":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","slug":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T1","question":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at least 1 between Apr 10, 2026 and Sep 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 1","description":"If the number of AIPAC-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined by inclusion on the AIPAC PAC featured candidates page (https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured/). A candidate counts as endorsed only if they are listed on the page AND the page allows donations to them through the AIPAC PAC at the time of the primary (e.g., candidates who are retiring, running for another office, deceased, or otherwise marked as non-donatable on the page — such as Cory Booker — are excluded). \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-17T23:28:08Z","volume":2009.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.770572662353516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-18T23:29:17.648804Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-18T23:28:14.401682Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipacloseprimary/how-many-aipac-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxaipacloseprimary-26sep16","event_title":"How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T10","event_id":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","slug":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T10","question":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at least 10 between Apr 10, 2026 and Sep 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 10","description":"If the number of AIPAC-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is at least 10, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined by inclusion on the AIPAC PAC featured candidates page (https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured/). A candidate counts as endorsed only if they are listed on the page AND the page allows donations to them through the AIPAC PAC at the time of the primary (e.g., candidates who are retiring, running for another office, deceased, or otherwise marked as non-donatable on the page — such as Cory Booker — are excluded). \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-16T13:59:00Z","volume":2062.39,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.900115966796875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T09:33:20.216291Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T05:37:55.151693Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipacloseprimary/how-many-aipac-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxaipacloseprimary-26sep16","event_title":"How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","as_of":"2026-05-27T11:38:46.482322Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?\" — top market at 99% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}