{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-10-16T05:15:41.732971Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?\" — 18 markets; highest \"Alibaba\" at 18% as of 2026-10-16 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","ticker":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7291.1,"volume_24hr":7291.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.619258880615234,"normalized_volume":21.247163772583008,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4591.1,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alibaba","top_outcome_probability":0.18,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.18,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1360.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-16T03:24:31.350419Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T03:24:31.350419Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.649602Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","chart_24h":[0.0,1600.0,6831.3,7275.06,7291.1],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":18,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-ALI","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-ALI","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"If Alibaba has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1360.0,"volume_24hr":1360.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":1360.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.5374755859375,"normalized_volume":16.20949363708496,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T00:31:06.688435Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T00:31:06.688435Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-DEEP","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-DEEP","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"If DeepSeek has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":240.0,"volume_24hr":240.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":240.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.554330825805664,"normalized_volume":9.364842414855957,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T00:31:06.688435Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T00:31:06.688435Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-IBM","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-IBM","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"IBM","description":"If IBM has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":5691.1,"volume_24hr":5691.1,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":5691.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.746164321899414,"normalized_volume":23.27521324157715,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T03:24:31.632733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T03:24:31.632733Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-ANTH","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-ANTH","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":"If Anthropic has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:50:49.479590Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:50:49.479590Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-GOOG","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-GOOG","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"If Google has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-INCL","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-INCL","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"InclusionAI","description":"If InclusionAI has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T22:39:32.730213Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T22:39:32.730213Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-META","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-META","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"If Meta has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:50:49.479590Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:50:49.479590Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-MINI","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-MINI","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"If MiniMax has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T00:46:18.665548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T00:46:18.665548Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-MIST","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-MIST","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"If Mistral has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-MOON","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-MOON","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Moonshot AI","description":"If Moonshot AI (listed by Artificial Analysis as Kimi) has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-NVDA","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-NVDA","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"NVIDIA","description":"If NVIDIA has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T00:46:18.665548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T00:46:18.665548Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-OAI","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-OAI","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"If OpenAI has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-STEP","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-STEP","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"If StepFun has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-TENC","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-TENC","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"If Tencent has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:50:49.479590Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:50:49.479590Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-TML","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-TML","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Thinking Machines","description":"If Thinking Machines has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:50:49.479590Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:50:49.479590Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-XAI","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-XAI","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"xAI","description":"If xAI (listed by Artificial Analysis as SpaceXAI) has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T23:55:54.808711Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T23:55:54.808711Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-XIAO","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-XIAO","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"If Xiaomi has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-ZAI","event_id":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31","slug":"KXAIPARETO-26DEC31-ZAI","question":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Z AI","description":"If Z AI has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nResolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T01:17:54.519762Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T21:08:19.848099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaipareto/which-ai-companies-will-have-a-pareto-efficient-model-at-the-end-of-2026/kxaipareto-26dec31","event_title":"Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}