{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","ticker":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","slug":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","title":"Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1007.01,"volume_24hr":1007.01,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.148099899291992,"normalized_volume":13.161419868469238,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1007.01,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"David B. Leslie","top_outcome_probability":0.71,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.71,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":400.01,"updated_at":"2026-08-23T17:45:40.926095Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T17:45:40.926095Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T14:06:58.514431Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakdropoutaug/which-alaska-candidates-will-drop-out-in-aug-2026/kxakdropoutaug-26","chart_24h":[0.0,1007.01],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-DLES","event_id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","slug":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-DLES","question":"Will David B. Leslie drop out of the Alaska U.S. Senate race before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"David B. Leslie","description":"If David B. Leslie drops out of the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate race before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\n“Dropped out” means any of the following:\nthe candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign\nthe candidate files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities\nthe candidate publicly states they are no longer seeking the office\nthe candidate endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running\nthe candidate is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal\n\nThe following do NOT constitute dropping out:\nLosing a primary or election\nFailing to qualify for debates or ballots\nTemporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing\nBeing eliminated through the normal election process\nReducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate\n\nKey provisions:\nOnce someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter\n“Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain a candidate\nWithdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot\n\nEach market in this event resolves independently. A candidate not named in this event dropping out does not resolve any market here.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29000000000000004],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.45,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":400.01,"volume_24hr":400.01,"prob_24h_change":0.71,"volume_24h_change":400.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.884635925292969,"normalized_volume":11.184353828430176,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-23T19:59:38.637335Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T19:59:38.637335Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T14:07:06.263343Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakdropoutaug/which-alaska-candidates-will-drop-out-in-aug-2026/kxakdropoutaug-26","event_title":"Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-DSULJR","event_id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","slug":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-DSULJR","question":"Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. drop out of the Alaska U.S. Senate race before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.","description":"If Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. drops out of the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate race before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\n“Dropped out” means any of the following:\nthe candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign\nthe candidate files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities\nthe candidate publicly states they are no longer seeking the office\nthe candidate endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running\nthe candidate is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal\n\nThe following do NOT constitute dropping out:\nLosing a primary or election\nFailing to qualify for debates or ballots\nTemporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing\nBeing eliminated through the normal election process\nReducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate\n\nKey provisions:\nOnce someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter\n“Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain a candidate\nWithdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot\n\nEach market in this event resolves independently. A candidate not named in this event dropping out does not resolve any market here.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.33,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":607.0,"volume_24hr":607.0,"prob_24h_change":0.33,"volume_24h_change":607.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.879716873168945,"normalized_volume":12.791431427001953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-23T19:59:38.637335Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T19:59:38.637335Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T14:07:06.263343Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakdropoutaug/which-alaska-candidates-will-drop-out-in-aug-2026/kxakdropoutaug-26","event_title":"Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-DBRO","event_id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","slug":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-DBRO","question":"Will Dave Bronson drop out of the Alaska Governor race before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Dave Bronson","description":"If Dave Bronson drops out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\n“Dropped out” means any of the following:\nthe candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign\nthe candidate files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities\nthe candidate publicly states they are no longer seeking the office\nthe candidate endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running\nthe candidate is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal\n\nThe following do NOT constitute dropping out:\nLosing a primary or election\nFailing to qualify for debates or ballots\nTemporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing\nBeing eliminated through the normal election process\nReducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate\n\nKey provisions:\nOnce someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter\n“Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain a candidate\nWithdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot\n\nEach market in this event resolves independently. A candidate not named in this event dropping out does not resolve any market here.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.8999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-23T19:59:38.637335Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T19:59:38.637335Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T14:07:06.263343Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakdropoutaug/which-alaska-candidates-will-drop-out-in-aug-2026/kxakdropoutaug-26","event_title":"Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-JKRE","event_id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","slug":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-JKRE","question":"Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins drop out of the Alaska Governor race before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins","description":"If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins drops out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\n“Dropped out” means any of the following:\nthe candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign\nthe candidate files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities\nthe candidate publicly states they are no longer seeking the office\nthe candidate endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running\nthe candidate is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal\n\nThe following do NOT constitute dropping out:\nLosing a primary or election\nFailing to qualify for debates or ballots\nTemporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing\nBeing eliminated through the normal election process\nReducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate\n\nKey provisions:\nOnce someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter\n“Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain a candidate\nWithdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot\n\nEach market in this event resolves independently. A candidate not named in this event dropping out does not resolve any market here.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.7699999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-23T20:18:17.010611Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T20:18:17.010611Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T14:07:06.263343Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakdropoutaug/which-alaska-candidates-will-drop-out-in-aug-2026/kxakdropoutaug-26","event_title":"Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-MSCH","event_id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","slug":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-MSCH","question":"Will Matt Schultz drop out of the Alaska U.S. House at-large race before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Matt Schultz","description":"If Matt Schultz drops out of the 2026 Alaska U.S. House at-large race before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\n“Dropped out” means any of the following:\nthe candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign\nthe candidate files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities\nthe candidate publicly states they are no longer seeking the office\nthe candidate endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running\nthe candidate is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal\n\nThe following do NOT constitute dropping out:\nLosing a primary or election\nFailing to qualify for debates or ballots\nTemporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing\nBeing eliminated through the normal election process\nReducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate\n\nKey provisions:\nOnce someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter\n“Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain a candidate\nWithdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot\n\nEach market in this event resolves independently. A candidate not named in this event dropping out does not resolve any market here.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-23T17:45:41.046332Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T17:45:41.046332Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T14:07:06.263343Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakdropoutaug/which-alaska-candidates-will-drop-out-in-aug-2026/kxakdropoutaug-26","event_title":"Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-TBEG","event_id":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","slug":"KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26-TBEG","question":"Will Tom Begich drop out of the Alaska Governor race before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Tom Begich","description":"If Tom Begich drops out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\n“Dropped out” means any of the following:\nthe candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign\nthe candidate files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities\nthe candidate publicly states they are no longer seeking the office\nthe candidate endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running\nthe candidate is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal\n\nThe following do NOT constitute dropping out:\nLosing a primary or election\nFailing to qualify for debates or ballots\nTemporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing\nBeing eliminated through the normal election process\nReducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate\n\nKey provisions:\nOnce someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter\n“Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain a candidate\nWithdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot\n\nEach market in this event resolves independently. A candidate not named in this event dropping out does not resolve any market here.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-23T19:59:38.637335Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T19:59:38.637335Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T14:07:06.263343Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakdropoutaug/which-alaska-candidates-will-drop-out-in-aug-2026/kxakdropoutaug-26","event_title":"Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAKDROPOUTAUG-26","as_of":"2026-08-23T21:00:26.434369Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?\" — top market at 33% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}