{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19","ticker":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19","slug":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19","title":"AK-AL primary: Who will advance?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10074.23,"volume_24hr":1639.34,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.243080139160156,"normalized_volume":23.389873504638672,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3432.36,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Nicholas Begich","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-09T19:03:15.548072Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T19:03:15.548072Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:29.710731Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakprimary/ak-al-primary-who-will-advance/kxakprimary-26may19","chart_24h":[300.0,920.0,994.6,1052.49,1132.39,1457.3899999999999,1639.34],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-JWIL","event_id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19","slug":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-JWIL","question":"Will John Brendan Williams qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?","group_item_title":"John Brendan Williams","description":"If John Brendan Williams advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.32999999999999996],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","volume":1115.4,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.342945098876953,"normalized_volume":15.331665992736816,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T18:27:24.867733Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T18:27:24.867733Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:29.821036Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakprimary/ak-al-primary-who-will-advance/kxakprimary-26may19","event_title":"AK-AL primary: Who will advance?","chart_24h":[0.68,0.67,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-MSCH","event_id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19","slug":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-MSCH","question":"Will Matthew Schultz qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?","group_item_title":"Matthew Schultz","description":"If Matthew Schultz advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","volume":5038.46,"volume_24hr":1324.04,"prob_24h_change":-0.26,"volume_24h_change":1324.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.060203552246094,"normalized_volume":22.624223709106445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T19:55:32.819017Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T19:55:32.819017Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:29.821036Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakprimary/ak-al-primary-who-will-advance/kxakprimary-26may19","event_title":"AK-AL primary: Who will advance?","chart_24h":[0.88,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-MWIL","event_id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19","slug":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-MWIL","question":"Will Matthew Williams qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?","group_item_title":"Matthew Williams","description":"If Matthew Williams advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","volume":1311.78,"volume_24hr":305.3,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":305.3,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.353240966796875,"normalized_volume":16.047834396362305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T18:27:24.867733Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T18:27:24.867733Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:29.821036Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakprimary/ak-al-primary-who-will-advance/kxakprimary-26may19","event_title":"AK-AL primary: Who will advance?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-NBEG","event_id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19","slug":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-NBEG","question":"Will Nicholas Begich qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?","group_item_title":"Nicholas Begich","description":"If Nicholas Begich advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","volume":113.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.994317531585693,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T03:39:23.085975Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T21:04:43.086456Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:29.821036Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakprimary/ak-al-primary-who-will-advance/kxakprimary-26may19","event_title":"AK-AL primary: Who will advance?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-BHIL","event_id":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19","slug":"KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-BHIL","question":"Will Bill Hill qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?","group_item_title":"Bill Hill","description":"If Bill Hill advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-18T14:00:00Z","volume":2495.15,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.0489501953125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T15:39:59.341628Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T15:39:59.341628Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:29.821036Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxakprimary/ak-al-primary-who-will-advance/kxakprimary-26may19","event_title":"AK-AL primary: Who will advance?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19","as_of":"2026-08-09T20:25:00.459483Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"AK-AL primary: Who will advance?\" — top market at 62% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}