{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","ticker":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","slug":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","title":"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T15:17:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":54822.71,"volume_24hr":54148.13,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.421600341796875,"normalized_volume":28.451688766479492,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":40962.06,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jul 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.7,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.7,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":34.97,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T21:40:49.502588Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T21:40:49.502588Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T15:20:05.396276Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoannounceretire/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement/kxalitoannounceretire-26jun","chart_24h":[0.0,1322.98,4965.15,9894.24,16659.72,20473.37,29747.89,33757.51,48551.26,53503.090000000004],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-27JUL01","event_id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","slug":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-27JUL01","question":"Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.37999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T16:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":139.88,"volume_24hr":34.97,"prob_24h_change":0.7,"volume_24h_change":34.97,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.351048469543457,"normalized_volume":7.240635395050049,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T21:40:49.630756Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T21:40:49.630756Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T16:38:52.003021Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoannounceretire/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement/kxalitoannounceretire-26jun","event_title":"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.7]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01","event_id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","slug":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01","question":"Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T15:17:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":13447.42,"volume_24hr":13207.08,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":13207.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.519641876220703,"normalized_volume":26.729162216186523,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T21:41:59.008886Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T21:40:49.630756Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T15:20:05.616864Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoannounceretire/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement/kxalitoannounceretire-26jun","event_title":"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-OCT01","event_id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","slug":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-OCT01","question":"Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T15:17:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","volume":5898.49,"volume_24hr":5806.03,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":5806.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.46224021911621,"normalized_volume":22.296415328979492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T21:42:12.020494Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T21:40:49.630756Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T15:20:05.616864Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoannounceretire/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement/kxalitoannounceretire-26jun","event_title":"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.23,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-AUG01","event_id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","slug":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-AUG01","question":"Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2026","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T15:17:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":14629.08,"volume_24hr":14627.08,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":14627.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.180068969726562,"normalized_volume":27.20484161376953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T21:42:12.020494Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T21:40:49.630756Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T15:20:05.616864Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoannounceretire/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement/kxalitoannounceretire-26jun","event_title":"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.5,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JUL06","event_id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","slug":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JUL06","question":"Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 6, 2026","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.030000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T03:59:00Z","volume":3106.35,"volume_24hr":2871.48,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":2871.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.494260787963867,"normalized_volume":19.12538719177246,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T21:42:12.020494Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T21:40:49.630756Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T15:59:55.420165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoannounceretire/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement/kxalitoannounceretire-26jun","event_title":"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.34,0.35,0.11,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JUL04","event_id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","slug":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JUL04","question":"Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jul 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 4, 2026","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-04T03:59:00Z","volume":12969.34,"volume_24hr":12969.34,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":12969.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.402908325195312,"normalized_volume":26.5260066986084,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T21:42:12.020494Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T21:40:49.630756Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T15:33:09.341638Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoannounceretire/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement/kxalitoannounceretire-26jun","event_title":"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.49,0.39,0.05,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JUL01","event_id":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","slug":"KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JUL01","question":"Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2026","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T15:17:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":4632.15,"volume_24hr":4632.15,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":4632.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.152584075927734,"normalized_volume":21.072708129882812,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T20:24:05.504351Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T20:22:38.214696Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T15:20:05.616864Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoannounceretire/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement/kxalitoannounceretire-26jun","event_title":"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN","as_of":"2026-06-30T21:47:21.597410Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?\" — top market at 15% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}